In a game between a pair of the highest-scoring teams in the league, the Oklahoma City Thunder (45-19) are six-point favorites against the Indiana Pacers (36-29) at Paycom Center on March 12, 2024. The over/under for the matchup is set at 241.5.
Check out below for the best bets you can make on Tuesday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Thunder (-6) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Thunder favored by six, while the model predicts they’ll win by considerably more (9.4 points). Put your money on the Thunder.
- Oklahoma City is 39-24-1 against the spread this season.
- The Thunder have been favored by 6 points or more 24 times this season, and covered the spread in 16 of those matchups.
- Indiana has a 34-28-3 record against the spread this season.
- When playing as at least 6-point underdogs this season, the Pacers have an ATS record of 6-6-1.
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Total: Under 241.5
- The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 2.5 points highter than the model projection.
- Oklahoma City’s games have finished with more than 241.5 points 25 times so far this year.
- So far this year, 35 Indiana’s games have featured over 241.5 points scored.
- A total of 33 out of the Thunder’s 64 games this season have gone over the point total.
- The Pacers and their opponents have combined to hit the over 33 out of 65 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Thunder (-238)
- Prediction: Thunder 124, Pacers 115
- Oklahoma City has entered the game as favorites 48 times this season and won 36, or 75%, of those games.
- Indiana has been chosen as underdogs in 33 games this year and has walked away with the win 17 times (51.5%) in those games.
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Chet Holmgren Points Prop: Over 15.5
- Chet Holmgren posts 16.9 points, 2.7 assists and 7.8 boards per game.
- Tuesday’s points prop for Holmgren is 15.5. That is 1.4 less than his season average.
- So far this season, Holmgren is 33-for-64 at hitting the over on the total set for his points prop.
- In 2023-24, the Pacers are best in the NBA on offense (123.1 points scored per game) but third-worst on defense (121.4 points conceded).
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Myles Turner Rebounds Prop: Over 7.5
- Myles Turner is averaging 17.1 points, 7.1 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game. He’s draining 52.0% of his shots from the field and 33.2% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 treys per contest.
- His per-game rebound average — 7.1 — is 0.4 less than his prop bet over/under in Tuesday’s game (7.5).
- He has grabbed more rebounds than the total set for him by bookmakers 31 times this season in his 65 games with a prop.
- While the Thunder rank in the bottom five in the NBA in boards per game with 41.7 (fourth-worst), they rank 24th in the league with 45.0 rebounds allowed per game.
Check out the prop bets available for Myles Turner and other Pacers players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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