The Phoenix Suns (37-27) play the Cleveland Cavaliers (41-23) as 6.5-point favorites on Monday, March 11, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET on BSOH. The matchup’s over/under is 220.
If you are looking to make an informed wager on Monday’s game, see the best bets available in this matchup, in this article (according to our computer predictions).
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Spread: Cavaliers (+6.5) to Cover
- The data strongly suggests betting on the Cavaliers in this one. The model favors them while DraftKings has the Suns favored and the difference between the two is 12.0 points.
- Cleveland has a 31-31-2 record against the spread this year.
- The Cavaliers have covered the spread four times this year (4-2 ATS) when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs.
- Phoenix is 25-37-2 against the spread this season.
- The Suns have covered the spread four times this season (4-11-1 ATS) when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites.
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Total: Over 220
- The model predicts a total (227.3 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game (220 points). Take the over.
- A total of 50 times so far this season, Phoenix and its opponent have combined to score more than 220 points.
- So far this year, 35 Cleveland’s games have featured more than 220 points scored.
- So far this season, 27 out of the Suns’ 64 games have hit the over.
- A total of 28 Cavaliers games this season have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Cavaliers (+205)
- Prediction: Cavaliers 116, Suns 111
- This season, Phoenix has won 30 out of the 46 games, or 65.2%, in which it has been favored.
- Cleveland has been victorious in nine, or 45%, of the 20 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Kevin Durant Points Prop: Under 25.5
- Kevin Durant puts up 28.3 points, 6.7 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game, shooting 52.9% from the floor and 42.3% from beyond the arc with 2.2 made 3-pointers per game.
- Durant has averaged 28.3 points per game during the 2023-24 season, 2.8 points more than Monday’s points prop total.
- Durant has gone up against a points prop bet in 59 games this season, and he’s exceeded the total 29 times.
- On offense, the Cavaliers are the 18th-ranked team in the NBA (113.8 points per game). Defensively, they are fourth-best (109.5 points conceded per game).
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Jarrett Allen Rebounds Prop: Under 12.5
- Jarrett Allen delivers 16.2 points, 10.7 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game for the Cavaliers.
- He averages 1.8 fewer rebounds than his over/under on Monday (which is 12.5).
- He has collected more boards than the over/under set for him by sportsbooks 27 times this season in 58 games with that prop available.
- With 41.7 rebounds allowed per game, the Suns are fourth-best in the league. They rank 12th in the league by pulling down 44.0 boards per contest.
Check out the prop bets available for Jarrett Allen and other Cavaliers players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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