The Detroit Pistons (10-53) are favored, by 4.5 points, versus the Charlotte Hornets (16-48) on March 11, 2024 at Little Caesars Arena — despite the Pistons struggling right now, going 2-8 in their past 10 games. The matchup has an over/under of 217.
Keep reading for the best bets you can make on Monday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Hornets (+4.5) to Cover
- The line for this game set by DraftKings and the model’s prediction are essentially the same (within 0.3 points of each other).
- Charlotte is 25-38-1 against the spread this season.
- The Hornets are 22-29-1 ATS this year when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.
- Detroit’s ATS record is 31-31-1 this season.
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Total: Over 217
- The model predicts a total (229.0 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (217 points). Take the over.
- A total of 50 times so far this season, Detroit and its opponent have combined for more than 217 points.
- Charlotte’s games have gone over 217 points on 42 occasions this year.
- So far this season, 33 out of the Pistons’ 63 games have hit the over.
- Hornets games have gone over the point total 30 out of 64 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Pistons (-192)
- Prediction: Pistons 117, Hornets 112
- This season, Detroit has won one out of the five games in which it has been favored.
- Charlotte has come away with 14 wins in the 60 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Jaden Ivey Rebounds Prop: Over 3.5
- Jaden Ivey puts up 15.4 points, 3.6 assists and 3.5 rebounds per contest.
- His rebounding average — 3.5 — equals his over/under on Monday.
- He has collected more boards than the over/under set for him by oddsmakers 20 times this season in 48 games with that prop available.
- In 2023-24, the Hornets are third-worst in the NBA in rebounds (41.1 per game) and fifth-worst in rebounds allowed (45.4).
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Miles Bridges Points Prop: Over 23.5
- On a per-game basis, Miles Bridges gets the Hornets 21.3 points, 7.5 rebounds and 3.3 assists. He also averages 1.0 steal and 0.5 blocked shots.
- Monday’s over/under for Bridges is 23.5 points, 2.2 more than his season average.
- This season Bridges is 24-for-53 at scoring more than the over/under set for him in terms of points.
- The Pistons rank 23rd in the NBA with 112.3 points per contest, but their defense has lagged behind, giving up 121.1 points per game (fourth-worst in league).
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