A matchup featuring a sputtering NBA squad will see the Washington Wizards (10-53) play the Miami Heat (35-28) at FTX Arena on March 10, 2024. The Wizards are 1-9 over their last 10 games. They enter this matchup as 10.5-point underdogs. The over/under is 229 points for the matchup.
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Heat vs. Wizards Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Heat | -10.5 | 229 |
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Injury Report as of March 10
Heat: Kevin Love: Out (Heel), Tyler Herro: Out (Foot), Josh Richardson: Out (Shoulder), Dru Smith: Out (Knee)
Wizards: Marvin Bagley: Out (Back), Marvin Bagley: Out (Back), Landry Shamet: Questionable (Calf), Isaiah Livers: Out (Hip)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Heat (-10.5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (229) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Heat vs. Wizards Stat Rankings
| Heat Avg. (Rank) | Wizards Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 110.5 (27th) | Points Scored | 114.5 (16th) |
| 109.9 (6th) | Points Allowed | 124.2 (30th) |
| 42 (24th) | Rebounds | 41 (29th) |
| 9.4 (25th) | Off. Rebounds | 9.4 (25th) |
| 12.4 (16th) | 3pt Made | 12.2 (19th) |
| 26 (20th) | Assists | 28.1 (9th) |
| 12.1 (8th) | Turnovers | 13.4 (21st) |
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Heat Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier | 30 | 23.2 | 3.9 | 6.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.8 |
| Jimmy Butler | 44 | 21.7 | 5.6 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Bam Adebayo | 53 | 19.9 | 10.3 | 4 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Terry Rozier | 16 | 14.8 | 4.3 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.6 |
| Duncan Robinson | 58 | 13.4 | 2.5 | 3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.8 |
Wizards Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuzma | 61 | 22.3 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 2.3 |
| Jordan Poole | 61 | 16.7 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| Deni Avdija | 60 | 13.8 | 6.8 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Corey Kispert | 61 | 12.2 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 2 |
| Tyus Jones | 63 | 12.1 | 2.8 | 7.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.6 |
Betting Trends
- The Heat have 31 wins in 63 games against the spread this year.
- Miami is winless ATS (0-2) when playing as at least 10.5-point favorites this season.
- Out of 63 Heat games so far this season, 24 have hit the over.
- A total of 19 times so far this year, Miami and its opponent have combined for more than 229 points.
- Heat games this season have posted an average total of 220.5, which is 8.5 points fewer than the total for this matchup.
- The Wizards are 29-33-1 against the spread this year.
- Washington’s ATS record as a 10.5-point underdog or greater is 13-11.
- The Wizards have seen 31 of their 63 games hit the over.
- Washington’s games have gone over 229 points on 42 occasions this season.
- The average total points scored in Wizards games this year (229) is 9.7 points higher than the total for this matchup.
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