The New Orleans Pelicans (38-25) visit the Atlanta Hawks (29-34) at State Farm Arena, beginning at 6:00 PM ET on Sunday, March 10, 2024. The Hawks are 6.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 222.
Check out below to dig into the best bets you can place on Sunday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Hawks (+6.5) to Cover
- The model favors the Pelicans by 5.0 points, just 1.5 less than the 6.5-point spread set by DraftKings.
- Atlanta is 22-41-0 ATS this year.
- The Hawks have been an underdog by 6.5 points or more six times this year, and covered the spread in two of those games.
- New Orleans has a 35-26-2 record against the spread this season.
- The Pelicans are 11-6-1 ATS this season when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites.
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Total: Over 222
- In this game, the model projects a total (234.5 points) substantially higher than the DraftKings over/under (222 points). Bet on the over.
- New Orleans and its opponent have broken the 222-point mark 45 times this year.
- Atlanta’s games have gone over 222 points on 50 occasions this season.
- A total of 28 out of the Pelicans’ 63 games this season have hit the over.
- So far this year, 32 out of the Hawks’ 63 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Pelicans (-250)
- Prediction: Pelicans 120, Hawks 115
- New Orleans has been the favorite in 38 games this season and won 25 (65.8%) of those contests.
- Atlanta has been chosen as underdogs in 27 games this year and has walked away with the win eight times (29.6%) in those games.
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Zion Williamson Points Prop: Over 22.5
- Zion Williamson posts 22.0 points, 5.2 assists and 5.6 boards per game.
- Williamson is putting up 22.0 points per game this season, 0.5 less than his points prop on Sunday.
- Williamson has had 59 chances to hit the over on a point prop this season and came through 22 times.
- The Hawks are the fifth-best team in the NBA in points scored (119.9 per game) but third-worst in points conceded (121.5).
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Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop: Under 16.5
- On a per-game basis, Bogdan Bogdanovic gives the Hawks 16.6 points, 3.3 rebounds and 2.9 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
- Sunday’s over/under for Bogdanovic is 16.5 points. That is 0.1 fewer than his season average of 16.6.
- In 50 games this season with a points prop total, Bogdanovic has hit the over 25 times.
- With 116.4 points per game on offense, the Pelicans are 14th in the NBA. At the other end of the court, they allow 111.2 points per contest, which ranks eighth in the league.
Check out the prop bets available for Bogdan Bogdanovic and other Hawks players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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