The Miami Heat (35-28) battle the Washington Wizards (10-53) on March 10, 2024 at FTX Arena. The Wizards are underdogs by an 11.5-point margin as they enter the matchup losers of two in a row with a 7-3 record in their last 10 games. The over/under is set at 228.5 in the matchup.
Our computer predictions for Sunday’s game will help you make an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Heat (-11.5) to Cover
- Our computers expect the same result as DraftKings, but have the Heat winning by a considerably greater margin (14.6 points). Take the Heat.
- Miami has a 31-30-2 record against the spread this season.
- The Heat have not covered the spread this season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 11.5-point favorites.
- Washington has a 29-33-1 record against the spread this year.
- The Wizards have been an underdog by 11.5 points or more 14 times this year, and covered the spread in 10 of those games.
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Total: Over 228.5
- The model predicts a total 1.1 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
- Miami’s games have finished with more than 228.5 points 19 times so far this year.
- Washington’s games have gone over 228.5 points on 42 occasions this year.
- A total of 24 out of the Heat’s 63 games this season have hit the over.
- A total of 31 Wizards games this season have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Heat (-625)
- Prediction: Heat 122, Wizards 107
- Miami has won 25, or 73.5%, of the 34 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Washington has come away with nine wins in the 59 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop: Over 12.5
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. puts up 12.9 points, 4.0 boards and 2.6 assists per contest, shooting 50.0% from the floor.
- Sunday’s over/under for Jaquez Jr. is 12.5 points, 0.4 fewer than his season average.
- He has gone over on his points prop on 18 occasions this season (in 38 games with such a prop).
- On offense the Wizards are the 16th-ranked team in the NBA (114.5 points per game). On defense they are the worst (124.2 points conceded per game).
See all available player props for Jaime Jaquez Jr. and other Heat players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Deni Avdija Points Prop: Under 14.5
- Deni Avdija is putting up 13.8 points, 6.8 rebounds and 3.7 assists per contest. He is making 50.5% of his shots from the field and 40.0% from 3-point range, with 1.2 treys per contest.
- The 14.5-point prop bet set for Avdija on Sunday is 0.7 higher than his scoring average on the season.
- Avdija has hit the over on his points prop total 36 times this season out of 64 games with such a prop.
- The Heat are scoring only 110.5 points per game (fourth-worst in NBA), but they’ve played better on defense, where they are allowing 109.9 points per game (sixth-ranked).
Check out the prop bets available for Deni Avdija and other Wizards players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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