In a contest featuring one of the hottest teams in the NBA, the Oklahoma City Thunder (43-19, 8-2 in their last 10) battle the Miami Heat (35-27) at Paycom Center on March 8, 2024. The Thunder are favorites by 8.5 points. The point total for the matchup is set at 224.5.
Our computer predictions for Friday’s game will help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Thunder (-8.5) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Thunder favored by 8.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (10.0 points).
- Oklahoma City is 38-23-1 against the spread this season.
- The Thunder have been favored by 8.5 points or more 15 times this season, and covered the spread in nine of those contests.
- So far this season, Miami has compiled a 30-30-2 record against the spread.
- The Heat have been an underdog by 8.5 points or more three times this year, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
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Total: Over 224.5
- In this game, the model projects a total (227.6 points) a little higher than the DraftKings over/under (224.5 points).
- Oklahoma City’s games have finished with more than 224.5 points 40 times so far this year.
- Miami’s games have had over 224.5 points 24 times this season.
- In the Thunder’s 62 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 33 times.
- Heat games have hit the over 24 out of 62 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Thunder (-355)
- Prediction: Thunder 119, Heat 109
- This season, Oklahoma City has won 34 out of the 46 games, or 73.9%, in which it has been favored.
- Miami has won in 10, or 35.7%, of the 28 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Chet Holmgren Points Prop: Under 16.5
- Chet Holmgren averages 17.2 points, 2.7 assists and 7.9 rebounds per contest.
- Holmgren is posting 17.2 points per game, 0.7 more than Friday’s over/under.
- Holmgren has hit the over on his points prop total 33 times this season out of 61 games with such a prop.
- The Heat are the fourth-worst team in the league in points scored (110.7 per game) and sixth in points allowed (110.0).
Check out all available player props for Chet Holmgren and other Thunder players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Jimmy Butler Rebounds Prop: Over 5.5
- The Heat are receiving 21.7 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4.8 assists per game from Jimmy Butler this year.
- He has averaged the same number of rebounds as his prop bet total in Friday’s game (5.5).
- He has recorded more rebounds than his listed total in 18 of his 49 games with a prop this season.
- The Thunder are grabbing just 41.5 boards per game (fourth-worst in NBA), and they are allowing 45.2 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked).
Check out the prop bets available for Jimmy Butler and other Heat players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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