The Orlando Magic (37-26) are 1.5-point favorites versus the New York Knicks (36-26) on March 8, 2024 at Madison Square Garden. It’s a contest featuring a pair of the best defensive teams in the league — the Magic are second in points allowed per game (109.5) and the Knicks are fourth (109.8). The matchup has a point total of 204.5.
If you are looking to make an informed wager on Friday’s game, find out the best bets available for this matchup, in this article (based on our computer predictions).
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Spread: Knicks (+1.5) to Cover
- While DraftKings has the Magic winning by 1.5, the model has the Knicks taking home the victory, with a considerable margin between the two spreads (5.8 points). Take the Knicks.
- New York has gone 31-29-2 ATS this year.
- The Knicks have been an underdog by 1.5 points or more 25 times this year, and covered the spread in eight of those contests.
- Orlando has a 42-21-0 record against the spread this season.
- When playing as at least 1.5-point favorites this season, the Magic have an ATS record of 19-5.
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Total: Over 204.5
- The model predicts a total (222.0 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (204.5 points). Take the over.
- Orlando’s games have had more than 204.5 points scored on 50 occasions this season.
- New York’s games have finished with over 204.5 points scored 54 times this year.
- So far this season, 29 out of the Magic’s 63 games have gone over the point total.
- So far this season, 24 out of the Knicks’ 62 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Knicks (+102)
- Prediction: Knicks 113, Magic 109
- Orlando has entered the game as favorites 25 times this season and won 22, or 88%, of those games.
- New York has been an underdog in 28 games this season and has come away with the win 10 times (35.7%) in those contests.
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Franz Wagner Rebounds Prop: Under 4.5
- Franz Wagner puts up 20.4 points, 4.0 assists and 5.5 rebounds per contest.
- He has averaged 5.5 rebounds per game, 1.0 higher than his prop bet on Friday.
- This will be his 56th game this season with a rebound prop and so far he has hit the over 33 times.
- In 2023-24, the Knicks are fifth-best in the league in rebounds (45.7 per game) and second-best in rebounds conceded (40.6).
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