The Dallas Mavericks (34-28) host the Miami Heat (35-26) on March 7, 2024 at American Airlines Center. The Heat are underdogs by a 4.5-point margin despite entering the matchup winners of three in a row with a 5-5 record in their last 10 games. The over/under is 229 points for this outing.
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Mavericks vs. Heat Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | -4.5 | 229 |
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Injury Report as of March 7
Mavericks: Maximilian Kleber: Probable (Knee), Luka Dončić: Probable (Ankle)
Heat: Josh Richardson: Out (Shoulder), Dru Smith: Out (Knee), Kevin Love: Out (Heel), Tyler Herro: Out (Foot)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Heat (+4.5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Under (229) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Mavericks vs. Heat Stat Rankings
| Mavericks Avg. (Rank) | Heat Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 118.7 (6th) | Points Scored | 110.8 (27th) |
| 118.3 (24th) | Points Allowed | 109.9 (6th) |
| 42.2 (23rd) | Rebounds | 42.0 (24th) |
| 9.8 (23rd) | Off. Rebounds | 9.5 (25th) |
| 14.9 (3rd) | 3pt Made | 12.4 (18th) |
| 25.2 (22nd) | Assists | 26.0 (20th) |
| 11.9 (5th) | Turnovers | 12.2 (8th) |
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Mavericks Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 54 | 34.6 | 8.9 | 9.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 3.9 |
| Kyrie Irving | 40 | 25.7 | 5.1 | 5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 3 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 59 | 16.3 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 3 |
| P.J. Washington | 44 | 13.6 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.8 |
| P.J. Washington | 10 | 12.4 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.8 |
Heat Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier | 30 | 23.2 | 3.9 | 6.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.8 |
| Jimmy Butler | 42 | 21.9 | 5.5 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Bam Adebayo | 51 | 20.4 | 10.3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Terry Rozier | 14 | 13.9 | 4.1 | 5.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Duncan Robinson | 56 | 13.3 | 2.5 | 3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.8 |
Betting Trends
- The Mavericks have beaten the spread 32 times in 62 games.
- Against the spread as 4.5-point favorites or more, Dallas is 9-10.
- There have been 31 Mavericks games (out of 62) that hit the over this year.
- Dallas’ games have finished with more than 229 points 43 times so far this season.
- Mavericks games have had an average of 237.0 points this season, 8.0 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
- The Heat are 30-29-2 against the spread this season.
- Miami’s ATS record as a 4.5-point underdog or more is 10-9.
- The Heat have played 61 games this year, and 24 of them have gone over the total.
- So far this year, 19 Miami’s games have featured over 229 points scored.
- The over/under for this game is 8.3 points higher than the average scoring total for Heat games of 220.7.
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