In a matchup featuring a pair of the brightest stars in the NBA, Jayson Tatum and the Boston Celtics (48-13) will play Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets (42-20) on March 7, 2024 at Ball Arena. The Celtics are favored by one point. The point total for the matchup is 220.5.
Our computer predictions below will help you pick what are the best bets available for Thursday’s game.
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Spread: Celtics (-1) to Cover
- Both DraftKings and the model expect the Celtics to walk away with the victory, but the model spread (2.9) is 1.9 points further in their direction.
- Boston is 30-28-3 against the spread this season.
- The Celtics have covered the spread 29 times this season (29-27-3 ATS) when playing as at least 1-point favorites.
- Denver is 27-33-2 against the spread this season.
- The Nuggets have an ATS record of 4-5 when playing as at least 1-point underdogs this season.
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Total: Over 220.5
- The model predicts a total (227.8 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (220.5 points). Take the over.
- Boston’s games have had more than 220.5 points scored on 42 occasions this year.
- Denver’s games have gone over 220.5 points on 34 occasions this season.
- A total of 29 out of the Celtics’ 61 games this season have gone over the point total.
- In the Nuggets’ 62 chances this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 23 times.
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Moneyline Winner: Celtics (-115)
- Prediction: Celtics 115, Nuggets 112
- Boston has entered the game as favorites 59 times this season and won 47, or 79.7%, of those games.
- Denver has come away with three wins in the nine contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Jaylen Brown Rebounds Prop: Under 5.5
- Jaylen Brown puts up 22.4 points, 5.4 boards and 3.7 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.5 blocks.
- He pulls down 5.4 rebounds per game, 0.1 less than his prop bet on Thursday.
- He has recorded more rebounds than his total in 30 of his 61 games with a prop set this season.
- The Nuggets collect 44.5 rebounds per game and give up 42.1 boards, ranking ninth and sixth, respectively, in the league.
Explore all available player props for Jaylen Brown and other Celtics players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop: Under 16.5
- The Nuggets are getting 16.6 points, 7.1 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game from Michael Porter Jr. this season.
- The 16.5 points prop bet set for Porter on Thursday is 0.1 fewer points than his season scoring average (16.6).
- In 59 games this season with a points prop total, Porter has hit the over 29 times.
- Things are clicking for the Celtics, who are scoring 121.0 points per game (second-best in NBA) and giving up 109.8 points per contest (fourth-best).
Check out the prop bets available for Michael Porter Jr. and other Nuggets players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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