The Los Angeles Clippers (39-21) play the Houston Rockets (27-34) on March 6, 2024 at Toyota Center. The Clippers favored by 6.5 points in a matchup pitting one of the best offensive squads in the NBA (the Clippers) against one of the strongest defensive squads (the Rockets). The matchup has a point total of 223.
Our computer predictions below will help you decide what are the best bets available for Wednesday’s game.
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Spread: Rockets (+6.5) to Cover
- The spread for this game suggested by the model (2.5 points) is significantly less than the 6.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Clippers, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Rockets to cover.
- Houston is 31-28-2 against the spread this season.
- The Rockets have an ATS record of 9-10-1 when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs this season.
- Los Angeles is 31-29-0 against the spread this season.
- When playing as at least 6.5-point favorites this season, the Clippers have an ATS record of 13-10.
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Total: Over 223
- The DraftKings point total for this game is just 4.6 points lower than the model projection.
- Los Angeles’ games have finished with more than 223 points 35 times so far this season.
- There have been 29 Houston’s games this year with more than 223 points scored.
- The Clippers and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 23 out of 60 times this season.
- The Rockets and their opponents have combined to hit the over 26 out of 61 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Clippers (-250)
- Prediction: Clippers 115, Rockets 113
- Los Angeles has entered the game as favorites 48 times this season and won 36, or 75%, of those games.
- Houston has been chosen as underdogs in 41 games this year and has walked away with the win 12 times (29.3%) in those games.
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James Harden Rebounds Prop: Over 5.5
- James Harden averages 17.6 points, 8.3 assists and 5.1 rebounds per game.
- His rebounding average — 5.1 per game — is 0.4 less than his prop bet for Wednesday’s game (5.5).
- He has recorded more rebounds than his total in 26 of his 54 games with a prop set this season.
- In 2023-24, the Rockets are fourth-best in the league in rebounds (46.2 per game) and 24th in rebounds conceded (45.0).
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Fred VanVleet Rebounds Prop: Under 3.5
- Fred VanVleet is averaging 16.6 points, 3.8 rebounds and 8.0 assists per game. He’s sinking 41.0% of his shots from the floor and 37.8% from 3-point range, with 3.0 treys per contest.
- He has averaged 3.8 rebounds per game, 0.3 more than his prop bet for Wednesday’s game (3.5).
- This will be his 58th game with a rebound prop this season, and so far he’s hit the over 26 times.
- The Clippers are averaging 42.9 boards per game this year (19th-ranked in NBA), and they’ve allowed just 42.1 rebounds per game (fifth-best).
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