In a contest featuring a pair of the best shooting teams in the NBA, the Golden State Warriors (32-28, 15.0 threes per game) face the Milwaukee Bucks 41-21, (14.3 threes per game) at Chase Center on March 6, 2024. The Warriors are favorites, by 3.5 points. The matchup has an over/under set at 227.5 points.
Trying to make an informed wager on Wednesday’s game? See the best bets available for this matchup (based on our computer predictions) in the article below.
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Spread: Bucks (+3.5) to Cover
- The model and DraftKings both have the Warriors taking home the win, but the model has them winning by slightly less (2.3 points). Lean towards taking the Bucks.
- Milwaukee’s ATS record is 27-34-1 this year.
- The Bucks have been an underdog by 3.5 points or more four times this year, and covered the spread in two of those games.
- Golden State has a 32-26-2 record against the spread this season.
- When playing as at least 3.5-point favorites this season, the Warriors have an ATS record of 12-12.
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Total: Over 227.5
- The model predicts a total (237.0 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (227.5 points). Take the over.
- In 40 games this year, Golden State and its opponent have combined to score more than 227.5 points.
- Milwaukee’s games have had over 227.5 points 44 times this season.
- A total of 30 out of the Warriors’ 60 games this season have hit the over.
- So far this year, 30 out of the Bucks’ 62 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Warriors (-148)
- Prediction: Warriors 120, Bucks 117
- This season, Golden State has been favored 38 times and won 26, or 68.4%, of those games.
- Milwaukee has come away with two wins in the eight contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Klay Thompson Points Prop: Over 15.5
- Klay Thompson averages 16.9 points, 2.2 assists and 3.5 rebounds per contest.
- The 16.9 points Thompson scores per game are 1.4 more than his prop total on Wednesday.
- He has had a points prop in 61 games this season, and has gone over 26 times.
- The Bucks are the second-best squad in the NBA in points scored (121.4 per game) and 18th in points conceded (116.9).
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Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop: Over 31.5
- On a per-game basis, Giannis Antetokounmpo gets the Bucks 30.8 points, 11.3 rebounds and 6.3 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 1.0 block.
- Antetokounmpo’s 30.8 points per game are 0.7 fewer than Wednesday’s over/under.
- Antetokounmpo has exceeded his points prop on 28 occasions this season (in 63 games with such a prop).
- Offensively, the Warriors are putting up 118.6 points per game (seventh-ranked in league). They are giving up 117.2 points per contest at the other end of the court (19th-ranked).
Check out the prop bets available for Giannis Antetokounmpo and other Bucks players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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