The Oklahoma City Thunder (42-19) are big favorites, by 13.5 points, versus the Portland Trail Blazers (17-43) on March 6, 2024 at Moda Center. The Trail Blazers are sputtering right now, going 2-8 in their past 10 games. The matchup has an over/under of 224 points.
Dig into the best bets available (according to our computer predictions) for Wednesday’s game, before you place an informed wager on the matchup.
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Spread: Trail Blazers (+13.5) to Cover
- The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (12.6 points) is a little tighter than the 13.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Thunder, though the data still has them as the favorite.
- So far this season, Portland has compiled a 28-32-0 record against the spread.
- The Trail Blazers have covered the spread six times this year (6-2 ATS) when playing as at least 13.5-point underdogs.
- Oklahoma City’s ATS record is 38-22-1 this season.
- The Thunder have been favored by 13.5 points or more four times this season, and covered the spread in three of those contests.
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Total: Over 224
- The DraftKings point total for this game is just 4.7 points lower than the model projection.
- In 40 games this season, Oklahoma City and its opponent have combined for more than 224 points.
- There have been 32 Portland’s games this season with more than 224 points scored.
- The Thunder and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 32 out of 61 times this season.
- Trail Blazers games have hit the over 28 out of 60 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Thunder (-950)
- Prediction: Thunder 121, Trail Blazers 108
- This season, Oklahoma City has won 33 out of the 45 games, or 73.3%, in which it has been favored.
- Portland has come away with 16 wins in the 54 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Jalen Williams Points Prop: Over 18.5
- Jalen Williams puts up 19.1 points, 4.0 boards and 4.5 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.0 steal and 0.5 blocks.
- Wednesday’s prop bet for Williams is 18.5 points, 0.6 fewer than his season average.
- This season, he is 31-for-54 at scoring more than the over/under set for him in terms of points.
- On offense, the Trail Blazers are the third-worst team in the league (107.6 points per game). On defense, they are 17th (115.7 points conceded per game).
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Jerami Grant Rebounds Prop: Over 3.5
- On a per-game basis, Jerami Grant gets the Trail Blazers 21.1 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.8 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
- He has pulled down 3.6 boards per game, 0.1 more than his over/under for Wednesday’s game.
- This will be his 51st game with a rebound prop this season, and so far he has gone over on 15 occasions.
- In terms of rebounding, the Thunder are getting beat at both ends of the court, as they rank fourth-worst in the league in rebounds (41.6 per game) and fifth-worst in rebounds allowed (45.4 per contest).
Check out the prop bets available for Jerami Grant and other Trail Blazers players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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