The Los Angeles Lakers (34-29) play the Sacramento Kings (34-26) on March 6, 2024 at Crypto.com Arena. The Lakers are favorites, by 2.5 points, in a contest featuring two of the top players in the league, the Lakers’ Anthony Davis and the Kings’ Domantas Sabonis. The point total for the matchup is 239.5.
Dive into the best bets available (based on our computer predictions) in Wednesday’s game, before you make an informed wager on the matchup.
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Spread: Kings (+2.5) to Cover
- The model line and the DraftKings line are within 0.3 points of each other.
- Sacramento’s ATS record is 30-29-1 this season.
- The Kings have an ATS record of 7-6 when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs this season.
- Los Angeles’ ATS record is 28-35-0 this season.
- When playing as at least 2.5-point favorites this season, the Lakers have an ATS record of 11-17.
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Total: Under 239.5
- The DraftKings point total for this game is just 4.3 points highter than the model projection.
- Los Angeles’ games have had more than 239.5 points scored on 27 occasions this season.
- So far this year, 28 Sacramento’s games have featured over 239.5 points scored.
- So far this season, 33 out of the Lakers’ 63 games have hit the over.
- A total of 30 Kings games this year have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Lakers (-135)
- Prediction: Lakers 119, Kings 116
- This season, Los Angeles has been favored 33 times and won 22, or 66.7%, of those games.
- Sacramento has come away with nine wins in the 20 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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LeBron James Rebounds Prop: Under 7.5
- LeBron James posts 25.2 points, 7.1 boards and 7.9 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.6 blocks.
- His rebounding average — 7.1 per game — is 0.4 less than his prop bet in Wednesday’s game (7.5).
- He’s grabbed more rebounds than the listed total for him 23 times this season in his 59 games sportsbooks set a prop.
- The Kings are 17th in the NBA in rebounds per game (43.3) and eighth in rebounds allowed (42.4).
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De’Aaron Fox Points Prop: Over 25.5
- De’Aaron Fox is averaging 26.8 points, 4.2 rebounds and 5.7 assists per game. He’s sinking 47.2% of his shots from the field and 36.8% from 3-point range, with 2.8 triples per contest.
- Wednesday’s over/under for Fox is 25.5 points. That’s 1.3 fewer than his season average of 26.8.
- So far this season, Fox is 24-for-55 at scoring more than the total set for his points prop.
- The Lakers are scoring 117.1 points per game (11th-ranked in NBA) this year, while ceding 117.4 points per contest (20th-ranked).
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