The Boston Celtics (48-12) play the Cleveland Cavaliers (39-21) on March 5, 2024 at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. The Celtics are strongly favored, by 8.5 points, in a matchup featuring one of the highest-scoring teams in the league against one of the best defensive teams. The Celtics are third in points scored per contest (121.3), while the Cavaliers are second in points allowed (109.5). The matchup’s over/under is set at 215.5.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you pick what are the best bets available for Tuesday’s game.
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Spread: Cavaliers (+8.5) to Cover
- The Celtics are favored by both DraftKings and the model, but the model has them winning by significantly less (8.5 to 3.4 points). Take the Cavaliers and the points.
- Cleveland is 29-29-2 against the spread this year.
- The Cavaliers have been an underdog by 8.5 points or more two times this year, and covered the spread in one of those games.
- Boston is 30-27-3 against the spread this season.
- The Celtics have covered the spread 18 times this season (18-12-1 ATS) when playing as at least 8.5-point favorites.
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Total: Over 215.5
- The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (12.0 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- In 48 games this season, Boston and its opponent have combined to score more than 215.5 points.
- Cleveland’s games have had over 215.5 points 37 times this year.
- Celtics games have gone over the point total 29 out of 60 times this season.
- So far this season, 26 out of the Cavaliers’ 60 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Celtics (-345)
- Prediction: Celtics 115, Cavaliers 112
- Boston has entered the game as favorites 58 times this season and won 47, or 81%, of those games.
- Cleveland has won in eight, or 44.4%, of the 18 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Derrick White Points Prop: Under 14.5
- Derrick White posts 15.5 points, 3.9 rebounds and 4.9 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 1.2 blocks.
- White’s 15.5 points per game are 1.0 point more than Tuesday’s over/under.
- He is 30-for-59 at going over his points prop this season.
- The Cavaliers are 17th in the NBA in points scored (114.4 per game) and second-best in points conceded (109.5).
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