In a game featuring one of the best teams in the league defensively against one of the best offensive teams, the New York Knicks (36-25) face the Atlanta Hawks (26-34) at Madison Square Garden on March 5, 2024. The Knicks are third in points conceded per game (109.7), and the Hawks are fifth in points scored (120.4). New York is a favorite, by three points. The matchup has an over/under set at 215 points.
Trying to gain an edge on Tuesday’s game? See the best bets available in this matchup (based on our computer predictions) below.
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Spread: Knicks (-3) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Knicks favored by three, while the model predicts they’ll win by considerably more (10.0 points). Put your money on the Knicks.
- New York’s ATS record is 31-28-2 this season.
- The Knicks have been favored by 3 points or more 26 times this season, and covered the spread in 16 of those games.
- So far this year, Atlanta has put together a 19-41-0 record against the spread.
- When playing as at least 3-point underdogs this season, the Hawks have an ATS record of 5-10.
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Total: Over 215
- The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (18.2 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- In 40 games this season, New York and its opponent have combined for more than 215 points.
- Atlanta’s games have gone over 215 points on 56 occasions this year.
- Knicks games have hit the over 23 out of 61 times this season.
- So far this season, 31 out of the Hawks’ 60 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Knicks (-148)
- Prediction: Knicks 122, Hawks 112
- New York has won 26, or 78.8%, of the 33 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Atlanta has been victorious in seven, or 26.9%, of the 26 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Donte DiVincenzo Points Prop: Over 21.5
- Donte DiVincenzo posts 14.2 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game, shooting 45.1% from the field and 41.0% from beyond the arc with 3.2 made treys per contest (eighth in NBA).
- The 21.5-point prop total for DiVincenzo on Tuesday is 7.3 higher than his season scoring average, which is 14.2.
- He has had a points prop in 49 games this season, and has exceeded the total 22 times.
- In 2023-24, the Hawks are fifth-best in the league offensively (120.4 points scored per game) but second-worst defensively (122.7 points allowed).
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Jalen Johnson Rebounds Prop: Under 8.5
- Jalen Johnson is putting up 15.6 points, 8.7 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game. He is draining 51.6% of his shots from the field and 33.8% from 3-point range, with 1.2 triples per game.
- His per-game rebounding average of 8.7 is 0.2 higher than his prop bet on Tuesday (8.5).
- Oddsmakers have set a rebound total for him 44 times this season, and he has hit the over in 23 of those games.
- The Knicks have been getting things done in terms of rebounding this season, ranking fifth-best in the NBA in boards per game (45.8) and second-best in rebounds allowed per contest (40.5).
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