The Miami Heat (34-26) are favorites, by 11 points as they host the Detroit Pistons (9-51) on March 5, 2024 at FTX Arena. This contest features one of the hottest teams in the league against one of the coldest, as the Heat are 8-2 in their past 10 games. The Pistons, on the other hand, have lost two straight, and have gone 2-8 in their past 10. The over/under is set at 217 points for this matchup.
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Heat vs. Pistons Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Heat | -11 | 217 |
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Injury Report as of March 5
Heat: Josh Richardson: Out (Shoulder), Dru Smith: Out (Knee), Kevin Love: Out (Heel), Tyler Herro: Out (Foot)
Pistons: Quentin Grimes: Doubtful (Knee), Quentin Grimes: Doubtful (Knee), Danilo Gallinari: Out (Not With Team), Danilo Gallinari: Out (Not With Team), Danilo Gallinari: Out (Not With Team), Ryan Arcidiacono: Out (Trade Pending)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Heat (-11) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (217) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Heat vs. Pistons Stat Rankings
| Heat Avg. (Rank) | Pistons Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 110.6 (27th) | Points Scored | 112.1 (23rd) |
| 109.9 (4th) | Points Allowed | 121.0 (27th) |
| 42.0 (24th) | Rebounds | 43.3 (16th) |
| 9.6 (25th) | Off. Rebounds | 10.9 (12th) |
| 12.4 (17th) | 3pt Made | 11.3 (29th) |
| 26.0 (20th) | Assists | 26.4 (16th) |
| 12.2 (8th) | Turnovers | 14.8 (29th) |
Best Betting Site for Heat vs. Pistons
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Heat Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier | 30 | 23.2 | 3.9 | 6.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.8 |
| Jimmy Butler | 41 | 21.8 | 5.5 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Bam Adebayo | 50 | 20.4 | 10.4 | 4.1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Terry Rozier | 13 | 13.7 | 4.3 | 5.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.2 |
| Duncan Robinson | 55 | 13.3 | 2.5 | 3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.8 |
Pistons Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham | 50 | 22.2 | 4.1 | 7.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.9 |
| Jaden Ivey | 56 | 15 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.5 |
| Simone Fontecchio | 9 | 14.2 | 3.3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2.4 |
| Jalen Duren | 45 | 13.9 | 11.8 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Isaiah Stewart | 38 | 11.1 | 6.8 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.5 |
Betting Trends
- Against the spread, the Heat are 30-28-2 this year.
- Miami doesn’t have a win ATS (0-1) as a 11-point favorite or greater this year.
- There have been 23 Heat games (out of 60) that hit the over this year.
- A total of 33 times so far this season, Miami and its opponent have combined for more than 217 points.
- The total for this game is 217, and that’s 3.6 points fewer than the average total in Heat games thus far this season.
- The Pistons have 29 wins in 60 games against the spread this year.
- Detroit is 13-9 as a 11-point underdog or greater.
- Out of 60 Pistons games so far this season, 30 have hit the over.
- So far this year, 47 Detroit’s games have featured more than 217 points scored.
- The average total for Pistons games is 233.1 points, 16.1 more than this game’s over/under.
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