Nuggets vs. Suns: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 5, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 4, 2024

The Denver Nuggets (42-19) are favorites (-8.5) in their matchup with the Phoenix Suns (35-26) at Ball Arena on March 5, 2024, which will see a pair of the league’s best players — the Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic and the Suns’ Kevin Durant — on show. The matchup has a 224 point total.

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Nuggets vs. Suns Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Nuggets -8.5 224

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Injury Report as of March 5

Nuggets: Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee), Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Questionable (Personal), Braxton Key: Questionable (Personal)

Suns: Nassir Little: Out (Left Knee), Damion Lee: Out (Knee), Devin Booker: Out (Ankle), Josh Okogie: Out (Hip)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Suns (+8.5)
Total Pick Over (224)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Nuggets vs. Suns Stat Rankings

Nuggets Avg. (Rank) Suns Avg. (Rank)
114.5 (16th) Points Scored 117.1 (11th)
110.3 (7th) Points Allowed 114.4 (16th)
44.4 (8th) Rebounds 43.9 (13th)
11.0 (11th) Off. Rebounds 10.1 (20th)
11.5 (27th) 3pt Made 12.0 (21st)
29.1 (4th) Assists 26.5 (14th)
11.9 (5th) Turnovers 14.2 (25th)

Best Betting Site for Nuggets vs. Suns

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Nuggets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 59 25.9 12.2 9.2 1.2 0.9 1
Jamal Murray 45 20.6 3.9 6.4 0.8 0.7 2.4
Michael Porter Jr. 60 16.6 7.2 1.5 0.5 0.7 2.8
Aaron Gordon 55 14 6.6 3.2 0.9 0.7 0.5
Reggie Jackson 61 10.4 2 3.9 0.6 0.1 1.2

Suns Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Kevin Durant 54 27.8 6.7 5.5 0.9 1.3 2.2
Bradley Beal 32 18.3 4.2 4.5 0.8 0.3 1.7
Grayson Allen 55 12.6 3.9 3.1 0.9 0.7 2.5
Eric Gordon 50 12.5 2.1 2.2 0.9 0.5 2.5
Jusuf Nurkic 57 11.8 10.7 3.8 1 1 0.4

Betting Trends

  • The Nuggets have beaten the spread 27 times in 61 games.
  • Denver’s ATS record as 8.5-point favorites or more is 8-9-1.
  • Out of 61 Nuggets games so far this year, 23 have hit the over.
  • Denver and its opponent have broken the 224-point mark 30 times this season.
  • The over/under in this matchup is 224 points, 0.8 fewer than the average total in this season’s Nuggets contests.
  • The Suns are 24-35-2 against the spread this year.
  • Out of 61 Suns games so far this year, 27 have hit the over.
  • Phoenix’s games have finished with over 224 points scored 43 times this year.
  • The average total points scored in Suns games this year (224) is 7.5 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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