In a contest featuring a pair of the brightest stars in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder (42-18) will face Anthony Davis and the Los Angeles Lakers (33-29) on March 4, 2024 at Crypto.com Arena. The Thunder are favored by 1.5 points. The matchup has an over/under set at 238 points.
Our computer predictions for Monday’s game may help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Thunder (-1.5) to Cover
- Our computers expect the same result as DraftKings, but have the Thunder winning by a considerably greater margin (4.9 points). Take the Thunder.
- So far this season, Oklahoma City has compiled a 38-21-1 record against the spread.
- The Thunder have an ATS record of 26-15 when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites this season.
- Los Angeles has gone 27-35-0 ATS this year.
- The Lakers have covered the spread 14 times this season (14-12 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.
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Total: Under 238
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (234.6 points) a little lower than the DraftKings over/under (238 points).
- Oklahoma City and its opponent have broken the 238-point mark 28 times this year.
- So far this season, 30 Los Angeles’ games have featured more than 238 points scored.
- The Thunder and their opponents have combined to hit the over 32 out of 60 times this season.
- So far this season, 33 out of the Lakers’ 62 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
Will this matchup go under the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!
Moneyline Winner: Thunder (-120)
- Prediction: Thunder 120, Lakers 115
- Oklahoma City has won 33, or 75%, of the 44 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Los Angeles has come away with 11 wins in the 28 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Chet Holmgren Points Prop: Over 16.5
- Chet Holmgren averages 17.2 points, 7.8 boards and 2.7 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.7 steals and 2.6 blocks (fourth in NBA).
- The 16.5-point over/under set for Holmgren on Monday is 0.7 less than his scoring average on the season (17.2).
- Holmgren has hit the points prop over at a 32-for-59 clip this season.
- With 117.1 points scored per game and 117.7 points conceded, the Lakers are 11th in the league offensively and 21st on defense.
See all available player props for Chet Holmgren and other Thunder players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
LeBron James Rebounds Prop: Over 6.5
- On a per-game basis, LeBron James gets the Lakers 25.3 points, 7.0 rebounds and 7.9 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
- He has grabbed 7.0 rebounds per game, 0.5 more than his prop bet for Monday’s game (6.5).
- This will be his 58th game with a rebound prop this season, and so far he has gone over 22 times.
- The Thunder have found it difficult to pile up rebounds this season, ranking fifth-worst in the league with 41.6 rebounds per game. They rank 25th by allowing 45.2 boards per contest.
Check out the prop bets available for LeBron James and other Lakers players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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