Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 4, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 4, 2024

The Minnesota Timberwolves (42-19) are strongly favored (by 14.5 points) versus the Portland Trail Blazers (17-42) on March 4, 2024 at Target Center. The matchup features a pair of the NBA’s top squads at defending the three — the Timberwolves rank second (11.4 triples allowed per game) and the Trail Blazers are fourth (11.5). The over/under is 210 points for this matchup.

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Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Timberwolves -14.5 210

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Injury Report as of March 4

Timberwolves: Jaylen Clark: Out (Achilles)

Trail Blazers: Malcolm Brogdon: Out (Illness), Scoot Henderson: Out (Adductor), Robert Williams: Out (Knee), Shaedon Sharpe: Out (Abdomen), Jerami Grant: Doubtful (Quadricep), Deandre Ayton: Questionable (Hand)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Timberwolves (-14.5)
Total Pick Over (210)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers Stat Rankings

Timberwolves Avg. (Rank) Trail Blazers Avg. (Rank)
113.2 (20th) Points Scored 107.5 (29th)
106.3 (1st) Points Allowed 115.6 (17th)
44.2 (12th) Rebounds 41.9 (25th)
9.2 (28th) Off. Rebounds 12.3 (5th)
12.5 (15th) 3pt Made 11.6 (24th)
26.4 (16th) Assists 22.7 (30th)
13.9 (22nd) Turnovers 14.2 (26th)

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Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Anthony Edwards 58 26.3 5.2 5.1 1.3 0.5 2.6
Karl-Anthony Towns 59 22.3 8.5 3 0.7 0.6 2.3
Rudy Gobert 59 13.6 12.8 1.2 0.6 2.1 0
Naz Reid 61 12.3 4.8 1.1 0.7 0.8 1.8
Jaden McDaniels 51 10.5 2.7 1.4 0.9 0.6 1.3

Trail Blazers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Anfernee Simons 36 22.4 3.6 5.3 0.4 0.1 3.3
Jerami Grant 52 21.1 3.6 2.8 0.8 0.6 2.1
Deandre Ayton 40 14.3 10.6 1.7 1.1 0.8 0
Dalano Banton 8 10.3 3.4 1.6 0.6 0.4 0.9
Duop Reath 45 8.9 3.8 1.1 0.5 0.6 1.3

Betting Trends

  • The Timberwolves have 30 wins in 61 games against the spread this season.
  • Minnesota is yet to lose ATS (1-0) as a 14.5-point favorite or greater this season.
  • This year, 29 of the Timberwolves’ 61 games have gone over the point total.
  • Minnesota and its opponent have broken the 210-point mark 44 times this season.
  • Timberwolves games average 219.6 total points per game this season, 9.6 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The Trail Blazers’ record against the spread is 27-32-0.
  • Against the spread, as a 14.5-point underdog or more, Portland is 3-1.
  • The Trail Blazers have played 59 games this year, and 27 of them have gone over the total.
  • There have been 45 Portland’s games this season with more than 210 points scored.
  • This season, Trail Blazers games have resulted in an average scoring total of 223.1, which is 13.1 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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