Thunder vs. Lakers: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 4, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 4, 2024

A contest featuring two of the NBA’s brightest stars will see Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder (42-18) visit Anthony Davis and the Los Angeles Lakers (33-29) on March 4, 2024 at Crypto.com Arena. The Thunder are 1.5-point favorites. The over/under for the matchup is set at 238 points.

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Thunder vs. Lakers Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Thunder -1.5 238

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Injury Report as of March 4

Thunder: Jaylin Williams: Out (Knee)

Lakers: Colin Castleton: Out (Wrist), Anthony Davis: Probable (Achilles), LeBron James: Questionable (Ankle), Gabe Vincent: Out (Knee), Jarred Vanderbilt: Out (Foot), Christian Wood: Out (Knee)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Thunder (-1.5)
Total Pick Under (238)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Thunder vs. Lakers Stat Rankings

Thunder Avg. (Rank) Lakers Avg. (Rank)
121.2 (4th) Points Scored 117.1 (11th)
113.3 (13th) Points Allowed 117.7 (21st)
41.6 (26th) Rebounds 42.4 (22nd)
8.7 (29th) Off. Rebounds 8.1 (30th)
13.4 (9th) 3pt Made 11.4 (28th)
26.9 (11th) Assists 28.6 (7th)
11.5 (2nd) Turnovers 13.1 (20th)

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Thunder Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 59 31.2 5.6 6.5 2.1 0.9 1.3
Jalen Williams 54 19.3 4.1 4.6 1 0.5 1.5
Chet Holmgren 60 17.2 7.8 2.7 0.7 2.6 1.7
Gordon Hayward 25 14.5 4.7 4.6 1.1 0.5 0.9
Josh Giddey 59 11.2 6 4.4 0.7 0.6 0.9

Lakers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
LeBron James 54 25.3 7 7.9 1.3 0.6 2.2
Anthony Davis 58 25 12.3 3.6 1.1 2.4 0.3
D’Angelo Russell 57 17.7 2.9 6.3 0.8 0.5 2.7
Austin Reaves 62 15.6 4 5.5 0.9 0.2 1.7
Spencer Dinwiddie 48 12.6 3.3 6 0.8 0.2 1.9

Betting Trends

  • Against the spread, the Thunder are 38-21-1 this year.
  • Oklahoma City is 26-15 as 1.5-point favorites or more.
  • The Thunder have played 60 games this season, and 32 of them have gone over the total.
  • Oklahoma City and its opponent have broken the 238-point mark 28 times this season.
  • Thunder games this season have posted an average total of 234.5, which is 3.5 points fewer than the total for this matchup.
  • The Lakers have beaten the spread 27 times in 62 games.
  • Los Angeles is 14-12 as a 1.5-point underdog or more.
  • There have been 33 Lakers games (out of 62) that hit the over this season.
  • Los Angeles’ games have had over 238 points 30 times this year.
  • The over/under for this game is 3.2 points higher than the average scoring total for Lakers games of 234.8.

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