In a game featuring a pair of the biggest stars in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder (41-18) will play Kevin Durant and the Phoenix Suns (35-25) on March 3, 2024 at Footprint Center. The Thunder are favored by 5.5 points. The over/under is 233 in the matchup.
Dive into the best bets available (based on our computer predictions) in Sunday’s game, before you make an informed wager on the contest.
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Spread: Suns (+5.5) to Cover
- The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (2.7 points) is a little bit less than the 5.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Thunder, though the data still has them as the favorite.
- Phoenix’s ATS record is 24-34-2 this year.
- The Suns have been an underdog by 5.5 points or more three times this year, and covered the spread in two of those matchups.
- Oklahoma City is 37-21-1 ATS this season.
- The Thunder are 15-6 ATS this season when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.
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Total: Over 233
- The DraftKings total for this game, 233 points, and the model’s projected total, 233.1 points, are only 0.1 points apart.
- Oklahoma City and its opponent have broken the 233-point mark 34 times this season.
- Phoenix’s games have gone over 233 points on 26 occasions this year.
- A total of 32 out of the Thunder’s 59 games this season have hit the over.
- Suns games have hit the over 27 out of 60 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Thunder (-218)
- Prediction: Thunder 118, Suns 115
- Oklahoma City has won 32, or 74.4%, of the 43 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Phoenix has been chosen as underdogs in 14 games this year and has walked away with the win five times (35.7%) in those games.
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Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop: Under 8.5
- Chet Holmgren puts up 17.2 points, 7.7 rebounds and 2.7 assists per contest, shooting 54.4% from the field and 39.8% from beyond the arc with 1.7 made 3-pointers per contest.
- His rebounding average — 7.7 per game — is 0.8 less than his prop bet in Sunday’s game (8.5).
- Bookmakers have set a rebound total for him 59 times this season, and he has hit the over in 26 of those games.
- The Suns are 14th in the league in rebounds per game (43.8) and fourth-best in rebounds allowed (41.7).
See all available player props for Chet Holmgren and other Thunder players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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