The Oklahoma City Thunder (41-18) visit the Phoenix Suns (35-25) on March 3, 2024 at Footprint Center. The Thunder are favorites, by five points, in a matchup featuring a pair of the league’s top players, the Thunder’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Suns’ Kevin Durant. The over/under is set as 233.5 points for the outing.
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Thunder vs. Suns Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Thunder | -5 | 233.5 |
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Injury Report as of March 3
Thunder: None
Suns: Bradley Beal: Probable (Hamstring), Eric Gordon: Out (Groin), Nassir Little: Out (Left Knee), Damion Lee: Out (Knee)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Suns (+5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Under (233.5) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Thunder vs. Suns Stat Rankings
| Thunder Avg. (Rank) | Suns Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 121.2 (4th) | Points Scored | 117.2 (11th) |
| 113.3 (13th) | Points Allowed | 114.4 (16th) |
| 41.6 (26th) | Rebounds | 43.8 (14th) |
| 8.6 (29th) | Off. Rebounds | 10.1 (19th) |
| 13.5 (8th) | 3pt Made | 11.9 (22nd) |
| 27.0 (11th) | Assists | 26.5 (15th) |
| 11.6 (2nd) | Turnovers | 14.1 (25th) |
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Thunder Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 58 | 31.2 | 5.6 | 6.5 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Jalen Williams | 53 | 19.3 | 4.1 | 4.6 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Chet Holmgren | 59 | 17.2 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| Gordon Hayward | 25 | 14.5 | 4.7 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| Josh Giddey | 58 | 11.2 | 6.1 | 4.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
Suns Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant | 53 | 27.9 | 6.7 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2.2 |
| Devin Booker | 50 | 27.5 | 4.6 | 6.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| Bradley Beal | 31 | 17.8 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.6 |
| Grayson Allen | 54 | 12.7 | 3.9 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 2.5 |
| Jusuf Nurkic | 56 | 11.8 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 1 | 1 | 0.4 |
Betting Trends
- The Thunder have covered the spread 37 times in 59 games.
- As 5-point favorites or more, Oklahoma City is 17-7 against the spread.
- Out of 59 Thunder games so far this season, 32 have gone over the total.
- Oklahoma City and its opponent have broken the 233.5-point mark 33 times this season.
- The total for this game is 233.5, and that’s 1.1 points fewer than the average total in Thunder games thus far this season.
- The Suns are 24-34-2 against the spread this season.
- Phoenix has two wins ATS (2-2) as a 5-point underdog or more this year.
- Out of 60 Suns games so far this year, 27 have hit the over.
- So far this year, 26 Phoenix’s games have featured more than 233.5 points scored.
- Games involving the Suns this year have averaged 231.6 points per game, a 1.9-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.
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