The Boston Celtics (47-12) are big favorites, by 11 points, over the Golden State Warriors (32-27) on March 3, 2024 at TD Garden. It’s a matchup featuring two of the sharpest shooting squads in the NBA — the Celtics are first in the league in 3-pointers made per game (16.2) and the Warriors are second (15.2). The over/under is 230 for the matchup.
Our computer predictions for Sunday’s game may help you make an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Warriors (+11) to Cover
- The model and DraftKings both have the Celtics taking home the win, but the model has them winning by slightly less (9.9 points). Lean towards taking the Warriors.
- So far this year, Golden State has compiled a 32-25-2 record against the spread.
- The Warriors have been an underdog by 11 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
- Boston is 29-27-3 ATS this season.
- The Celtics have been favored by 11 points or more 18 times this season, and covered the spread in 10 of those games.
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Total: Over 230
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (233.6 points) a little higher than the DraftKings over/under (230 points).
- In 30 games this season, Boston and its opponent have combined to score more than 230 points.
- There have been 37 Golden State’s games this year with more than 230 points scored.
- Celtics games have gone over the point total 29 out of 59 times this season.
- So far this year, 30 out of the Warriors’ 59 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Celtics (-575)
- Prediction: Celtics 122, Warriors 112
- Boston has won 46, or 80.7%, of the 57 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Golden State has been chosen as underdogs in 21 games this year and has walked away with the win six times (28.6%) in those games.
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Jayson Tatum Points Prop: Over 27.5
- Jayson Tatum puts up 27.1 points, 8.5 rebounds and 4.8 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.0 steal and 0.6 blocks.
- The 27.5-point total set for Tatum on Sunday is 0.4 more points than his season scoring average.
- Tatum has gone up against a points prop bet in 58 games this season, and he’s gone over 27 times.
- The Warriors are sixth in the league in points scored (119.1 per game) and 18th in points allowed (116.8).
See all available player props for Jayson Tatum and other Celtics players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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