The Dallas Mavericks (34-26) are strongly favored, by eight points, over the Philadelphia 76ers (34-25) on March 3, 2024 at American Airlines Center. It’s a matchup featuring one of the best shooting teams in the NBA versus one of the best defending against the 3-pointer. The Mavericks are third in the league in triples made per game (15.0) while the 76ers are fifth in 3’s conceded (11.7). The matchup has an over/under of 236.5 points.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you pick what are the best bets available for Sunday’s game.
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Spread: 76ers (+8) to Cover
- The Mavericks are favored by both DraftKings and the model, but the model has them winning by significantly less (8 to 3.2 points). Take the 76ers and the points.
- Philadelphia has a 32-27-0 record against the spread this season.
- The 76ers have been an underdog by 8 points or more four times this year, and covered the spread in three of those matchups.
- So far this season, Dallas has compiled a 32-28-0 record against the spread.
- The Mavericks have been favored by 8 points or more eight times this season, and covered the spread in five of those games.
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Total: Under 236.5
- The model projects a total 2.7 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- Dallas’ games have had more than 236.5 points scored on 32 occasions this year.
- There have been 23 Philadelphia’s games this year with more than 236.5 points scored.
- A total of 30 out of the Mavericks’ 60 games this season have hit the over.
- So far this year, 33 out of the 76ers’ 59 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Mavericks (-345)
- Prediction: Mavericks 118, 76ers 115
- Dallas has won 24, or 72.7%, of the 33 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Philadelphia has come away with five wins in the 20 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Kyrie Irving Rebounds Prop: Over 4.5
- Kyrie Irving puts up 25.7 points, 5.1 rebounds and 5.1 assists per contest, shooting 49.1% from the field and 41.8% from downtown with 2.9 made treys per game.
- He averages 0.6 more rebounds than his prop bet Sunday of 4.5.
- He has recorded more rebounds than his total in 19 of his 44 games with a prop set this season.
- The 76ers collect 43.0 rebounds per game and give up 44.1 boards, ranking 19th and 18th, respectively, in the league.
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Tobias Harris Rebounds Prop: Over 6.5
- On a per-game basis, Tobias Harris gets the 76ers 17.5 points, 6.1 rebounds and 3.2 assists. He also averages 1.0 steal and 0.6 blocked shots.
- He has collected 6.1 rebounds per game, 0.4 fewer than his prop bet in Sunday’s game (6.5).
- He has grabbed more rebounds than the total set for him by oddsmakers 24 times this season in his 57 games with a prop.
- The Mavericks rank fourth-worst in the NBA with 45.6 rebounds allowed per contest. Meanwhile, they are pulling down 42.1 rebounds per game (23rd-ranked in league).
Check out the prop bets available for Tobias Harris and other 76ers players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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