The Minnesota Timberwolves (42-18) face the Los Angeles Clippers (38-20) on March 3, 2024 at Target Center. The Timberwolves are favorites, by 1.5 points, in a contest pitting one of the best defensive squads in the league (the Timberwolves) versus one of the most efficient offensive teams (the Clippers). The matchup has an over/under of 219.5 points.
Our computer predictions for Sunday’s game will help you make an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5) to Cover
- The Timberwolves are the bet in this contest. They’re favored by 3.8 more points in the model than DraftKings (5.3 to 1.5).
- Minnesota’s ATS record is 30-28-2 this season.
- The Timberwolves are 22-22-2 ATS this season when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
- Los Angeles’ ATS record is 30-28-0 this season.
- The Clippers have been an underdog by 1.5 points or more eight times this season, and covered the spread in three of those contests.
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Total: Over 219.5
- The model projects a total 6.0 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- Minnesota and its opponent have broken the 219.5-point mark 31 times this season.
- So far this season, 39 Los Angeles’ games have featured over 219.5 points scored.
- The Timberwolves and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 29 out of 60 times this season.
- Clippers games have hit the over 23 out of 58 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Timberwolves (-118)
- Prediction: Timberwolves 115, Clippers 110
- Minnesota has won 35, or 74.5%, of the 47 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Los Angeles has won in two of the 10 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Rudy Gobert Rebounds Prop: Under 12.5
- Rudy Gobert posts 13.6 points, 12.7 boards and 1.2 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.6 steals and 2.1 blocks (seventh in NBA).
- He has collected 12.7 boards per game, 0.2 more than his over/under for Sunday’s game.
- He has grabbed more rebounds than his over/under in 31 of his 60 games with that prop available this season.
- In 2023-24, the Clippers are 19th in the NBA in rebounds (43.0 per game) and fifth-best in rebounds allowed (41.8).
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Paul George Points Prop: Under 19.5
- Paul George is putting up 22.1 points, 5.4 rebounds and 3.6 assists per contest. He is sinking 45.7% of his shots from the field and 39.4% from beyond the arc, with 3.2 triples per game (seventh in league).
- George’s 22.1 points per game are 2.6 more than Sunday’s prop total.
- George has hit the points prop over at a 22-for-56 clip this season.
- The Timberwolves have been carried by their defense, as they rank best in the NBA by giving up just 106.6 points per game. They rank 19th in the league in points scored (113.7 per contest).
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