The Indiana Pacers (34-27) face the San Antonio Spurs (12-48) on March 3, 2024 at AT&T Center. The Spurs are underdogs by a 6.5-point margin as they enter the matchup with a 6-4 record in their last 10 games. The over/under is set at 244 in the matchup.
Before you place an informed wager on the matchup, check out the best bets available in Sunday’s game according to our computer predictions.
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Spread: Spurs (+6.5) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this matchup is within 0.4 points of the model. Stay away from this one.
- San Antonio’s ATS record is 29-31-0 this season.
- The Spurs are 18-21 ATS this season when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs.
- Indiana is 32-26-3 ATS this season.
- The Pacers have been favored by 6.5 points or more 13 times this season, and covered the spread in six of those games.
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Total: Under 244
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (239.1 points) marginally lower than the DraftKings over/under (244 points).
- A total of 34 times so far this season, Indiana and its opponent have combined for more than 244 points.
- San Antonio’s games have finished with over 244 points scored 20 times this season.
- Pacers games have hit the over 32 out of 61 times this season.
- The Spurs and their opponents have combined to hit the over 29 out of 60 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Pacers (-265)
- Prediction: Pacers 123, Spurs 117
- This season, Indiana has been favored 29 times and won 18, or 62.1%, of those games.
- San Antonio has won in eight, or 14.5%, of the 55 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Tyrese Haliburton Rebounds Prop: Over 3.5
- Tyrese Haliburton puts up 21.0 points, 11.4 assists and 3.7 boards per contest.
- He has averaged 0.2 more rebounds per game (3.7) than his prop bet total in Sunday’s game (3.5).
- He has gone over his rebound total in 18 of 51 games with a prop so far this season.
- On the boards, the Spurs are 17th in the league in rebounds (43.3 per game). They are third-worst in rebounds allowed (45.7 per game).
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Victor Wembanyama Points Prop: Over 24.5
- Victor Wembanyama is averaging 20.7 points, 10.2 rebounds and 3.4 assists per contest. He’s also draining 46.7% of his shots from the field and 32.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.6 triples per game.
- The 20.7 points Wembanyama scores per game are 3.8 less than his prop total on Sunday.
- Wembanyama is 27-for-58 at hitting the over on his points prop this season.
- The Pacers have been forced to rely on their offense, which ranks best in the NBA (123.6 points per game), as they rank third-worst in the league on defense with just 122.1 points allowed per contest.
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