The Cleveland Cavaliers (39-20) are 5.5-point favorites versus the New York Knicks (35-25) on March 3, 2024 at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. It’s a contest featuring a pair of the top defensive squads in the NBA — the Cavaliers are second in points allowed per game (109.6) and the Knicks are third (109.9). The matchup has an over/under set at 209 points.
Our computer predictions below will help you pick what are the best bets available for Sunday’s game.
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Spread: Knicks (+5.5) to Cover
- The line for this game set by DraftKings and the model’s prediction are essentially the same (within 0.2 points of each other).
- New York is 30-28-2 against the spread this year.
- The Knicks have been an underdog by 5.5 points or more eight times this season, and covered the spread in two of those contests.
- Cleveland’s ATS record is 29-28-2 this season.
- The Cavaliers are 7-10-1 ATS this season when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.
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Total: Over 209
- In this game, the model projects a total (223.8 points) much higher than the DraftKings over/under (209 points). Bet on the over.
- In 48 games this year, Cleveland and its opponent have combined for more than 209 points.
- New York’s games have finished with over 209 points scored 45 times this year.
- A total of 26 out of the Cavaliers’ 59 games this season have hit the over.
- In the Knicks’ 60 chances this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 23 times.
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Moneyline Winner: Cavaliers (-218)
- Prediction: Cavaliers 115, Knicks 109
- Cleveland has been the favorite in 41 games this season and won 31 (75.6%) of those contests.
- New York has won in nine, or 33.3%, of the 27 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Josh Hart Points Prop: Under 12.5
- Josh Hart is putting up 8.6 points, 7.4 rebounds and 3.4 assists per contest. He is making 42.5% of his shots from the floor and 31.9% from 3-point range, with 1.0 triples per game.
- The 12.5-point prop bet for Hart on Sunday is 3.9 higher than his scoring average on the season (8.6).
- This season, Hart has scored beyond the points prop number in 19 of 50 games with a set total.
- The Cavaliers have a top-five defense this season, ranking second-best in the league with 109.6 points allowed per game. Offensively, they rank 15th with 114.6 points scored per contest.
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