The Minnesota Timberwolves (42-17) are 6.5-point favorites as they take on the Sacramento Kings (33-25) on March 1, 2024 at Target Center. The matchup pits one of the top squads in the NBA defending against the 3-pointer versus one of the best shooting teams. The Timberwolves give up just 11.4 treys per game (second in league), while the Kings make 14.7 (fourth). The point total is 225.5 in the matchup.
Our computer predictions below will help you decide what are the best bets available for Friday’s game.
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Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5) to Cover
- The Timberwolves are the bet in this game. They’re favored by 3.4 more points in the model than DraftKings (9.9 to 6.5).
- Minnesota is 30-27-2 against the spread this season.
- The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 14-12 when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites this season.
- Sacramento is 29-28-1 ATS this season.
- The Kings have covered the spread once when an underdog by 6.5 points or more this year (in two opportunities).
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Total: Over 225.5
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (227.9 points) slightly higher than the DraftKings over/under (225.5 points).
- Minnesota and its opponent have broken the 225.5-point mark 20 times this season.
- Sacramento’s games have gone over 225.5 points on 41 occasions this season.
- The Timberwolves and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 28 out of 59 times this season.
- So far this season, 29 out of the Kings’ 58 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Timberwolves (-250)
- Prediction: Timberwolves 119, Kings 109
- This season, Minnesota has won 35 out of the 46 games, or 76.1%, in which it has been favored.
- Sacramento has come away with eight wins in the 19 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Anthony Edwards Points Prop: Over 29.5
- Anthony Edwards averages 26.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game, shooting 46.9% from the field and 38.1% from downtown with 2.6 made treys per contest.
- Edwards’ 26.6 points per game average is 2.9 less than Friday’s over/under.
- Edwards is 32-for-57 at going over his points prop total this season.
- Offensively the Kings are the eighth-ranked team in the NBA (118.1 points per game). Defensively they are 22nd (117.8 points conceded per game).
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