The Boston Celtics (46-12) battle the Dallas Mavericks (34-25) on March 1, 2024 at TD Garden. The Celtics are big favorites, by nine points, in a contest featuring a pair of the top players in the league, the Celtics’ Jayson Tatum and the Mavericks’ Luka Doncic. The matchup has an over/under set at 237 points.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you decide what are the best bets available for Friday’s game.
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Spread: Celtics (-9) to Cover
- Both DraftKings and the model expect the Celtics to walk away with the victory, but the model spread (11.9) is 2.9 points further in their direction.
- Boston is 28-27-3 against the spread this season.
- The Celtics are 13-10-1 ATS this season when playing as at least 9-point favorites.
- Dallas has a 32-27-0 record against the spread this year.
- The Mavericks have been an underdog by 9 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
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Total: Under 237
- The model predicts a total 3.3 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- Boston and its opponent have broken the 237-point mark 22 times this year.
- Dallas’ games have had over 237 points 31 times this year.
- A total of 28 out of the Celtics’ 58 games this season have gone over the point total.
- So far this year, 29 out of the Mavericks’ 59 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Celtics (-395)
- Prediction: Celtics 123, Mavericks 111
- This season, Boston has been favored 56 times and won 45, or 80.4%, of those games.
- Dallas has been chosen as underdogs in 25 games this year and has walked away with the win nine times (36%) in those games.
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Derrick White Rebounds Prop: Over 3.5
- Derrick White posts 15.6 points, 4.8 assists and 3.9 rebounds per contest.
- His rebounding average of 3.9 is lower than his over/under on Friday (3.5).
- He has grabbed more rebounds than his over/under in 28 of his 58 games with that prop available this season.
- On the boards, the Mavericks are 24th in the league in rebounds (42.1 per game). They are fourth-worst in rebounds conceded (45.5 per game).
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