A contest featuring one of the hottest NBA teams at the moment will see the Miami Heat (33-25) play the Denver Nuggets (40-19) at Ball Arena on February 29, 2024. The Heat have won five in a row, and are 8-2 in their past 10 games, but the Nuggets are six-point favorites. The matchup has a 215 point total.
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Nuggets vs. Heat Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | -6 | 215 |
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Injury Report as of February 29
Nuggets: Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee), Hunter Tyson: Questionable (Finger)
Heat: Josh Richardson: Out (Shoulder), Dru Smith: Out (Knee), Tyler Herro: Questionable (Knee), Orlando Robinson: Questionable (Back), Thomas Bryant: Out (Suspension)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Nuggets (-6) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (215) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Nuggets vs. Heat Stat Rankings
| Nuggets Avg. (Rank) | Heat Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 114.6 (16th) | Points Scored | 110.6 (27th) |
| 110.4 (7th) | Points Allowed | 109.9 (3rd) |
| 44.4 (8th) | Rebounds | 42.1 (23rd) |
| 11.0 (10th) | Off. Rebounds | 9.6 (25th) |
| 11.5 (25th) | 3pt Made | 12.4 (17th) |
| 29.1 (5th) | Assists | 25.9 (20th) |
| 11.8 (4th) | Turnovers | 12.3 (8th) |
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Nuggets Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 57 | 25.9 | 12.3 | 9.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Jamal Murray | 43 | 20.9 | 3.9 | 6.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 2.4 |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 58 | 16.2 | 7 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 2.7 |
| Aaron Gordon | 53 | 13.9 | 6.5 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Reggie Jackson | 59 | 10.6 | 2 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.3 |
Heat Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier | 30 | 23.2 | 3.9 | 6.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.8 |
| Tyler Herro | 36 | 20.8 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 3.3 |
| Bam Adebayo | 48 | 20.3 | 10.5 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Duncan Robinson | 53 | 13.3 | 2.4 | 3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.8 |
| Terry Rozier | 11 | 13.2 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.2 |
Betting Trends
- Against the spread, the Nuggets are 26-31-2 this season.
- Against the spread as 6-point favorites or more, Denver is 12-13-1.
- Out of 59 Nuggets games so far this year, 22 have gone over the total.
- Denver and its opponent have broken the 215-point mark 42 times this year.
- Nuggets games average 225.0 total points per game this season, 10.0 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
- The Heat are 29-27-2 against the spread this season.
- Miami’s ATS record as a 6-point underdog or greater is 6-5.
- Out of 58 Heat games so far this season, 22 have hit the over.
- So far this year, 38 Miami’s games have featured over 215 points scored.
- The average total points scored in Heat games this year (215) is 5.5 points higher than the total for this matchup.
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