The Milwaukee Bucks (38-21) visit the Charlotte Hornets (15-43) at Spectrum Center, starting at 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, February 29, 2024. The Hornets are 11.5-point underdogs in the game. The over/under is set at 218.5 for the matchup.
Our computer predictions for Thursday’s game will help you make an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Hornets (+11.5) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this matchup is within 0.5 points of the model. Stay away from this one.
- Charlotte has gone 22-35-1 ATS this season.
- The Hornets have an ATS record of 6-11 when playing as at least 11.5-point underdogs this year.
- Milwaukee is 24-34-1 against the spread this season.
- When playing as at least 11.5-point favorites this season, the Bucks have an ATS record of 3-9.
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Total: Over 218.5
- The model projects a total (232.7 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (218.5 points). Take the over.
- In 51 games this season, Milwaukee and its opponent have combined to score more than 218.5 points.
- So far this season, 38 Charlotte’s games have featured more than 218.5 points scored.
- So far this season, 30 out of the Bucks’ 59 games have hit the over.
- The Hornets and their opponents have combined to hit the over 28 out of 58 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Bucks (-625)
- Prediction: Bucks 122, Hornets 111
- Milwaukee has won 37, or 71.2%, of the 52 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Charlotte has won in 13, or 24.1%, of the 54 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Damian Lillard Rebounds Prop: Over 4.5
- Damian Lillard posts 24.5 points, 4.4 rebounds and 6.8 assists per contest, shooting 42.5% from the floor and 34.4% from downtown with 2.9 made treys per game.
- His rebounding average — 4.4 per game — is 0.1 less than his prop bet in Thursday’s game (4.5).
- Sportsbooks have set a rebound total for him 60 times this season, and he has hit the over in 25 of those games.
- In 2023-24, the Hornets are third-worst in the NBA in rebounds (41.1 per game) and fifth-worst in rebounds conceded (45.3).
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Miles Bridges Points Prop: Over 19.5
- Miles Bridges is averaging 21.4 points, 7.3 rebounds and 3.3 assists per contest. He’s also draining 46.3% of his shots from the floor and 37.3% from 3-point range, with 2.5 triples per contest.
- The 21.4 points Bridges scores per game are 1.9 more than his prop total on Thursday.
- Bridges has gone over 21 times on a points prop this season (in 47 opportunities).
- The Bucks have a top-five offense this season, ranking second-best in the league with 121.8 points per game. At the other end of the court, they rank 21st with 117.7 points allowed per contest.
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