The Golden State Warriors (30-27) are favored by 3.5 points versus the New York Knicks (35-24) on February 29, 2024 at Madison Square Garden. The Warriors are flying, going 8-2 in their past 10 games. The matchup has a point total of 223.
Check out below for the best bets you can place on Thursday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Knicks (+3.5) to Cover
- The model line is much more favorable to the Knicks compared to the DraftKings line, a 6.9 point difference, and has them favored to win Thursday’s game outright. Put your money on the Knicks.
- New York’s ATS record is 30-27-2 this season.
- The Knicks have been an underdog by 3.5 points or more 16 times this season, and covered the spread in four of those contests.
- Golden State has gone 30-25-2 ATS this season.
- The Warriors have covered the spread 11 times this season (11-12 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
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Total: Over 223
- The DraftKings point total for this matchup is more than two possessions lower (7.2 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- Golden State’s games have had more than 223 points scored on 44 occasions this year.
- New York’s games have finished with over 223 points scored 29 times this year.
- Warriors games have gone over the point total 30 out of 57 times this season.
- Knicks games have hit the over 23 out of 59 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Knicks (+136)
- Prediction: Knicks 117, Warriors 113
- This season, Golden State has won 24 out of the 36 games, or 66.7%, in which it has been favored.
- New York has been chosen as underdogs in 26 games this year and has walked away with the win nine times (34.6%) in those games.
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Stephen Curry Rebounds Prop: Under 3.5
- Stephen Curry posts 27.5 points, 4.2 rebounds and 5.1 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.4 blocks.
- He has pulled down 4.2 rebounds per game, 0.7 more than his prop bet for Thursday’s game (3.5).
- He has recorded more rebounds than his listed total in 25 of his 58 games with a prop this season.
- The Knicks are the fifth-best team in the NBA in rebounds per game (45.6) and best in rebounds conceded (40.3).
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