Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – February 28, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on February 28, 2024

The Minnesota Timberwolves (41-17) are 12.5-point favorites against the Memphis Grizzlies (20-38) on February 28, 2024 at Target Center. The Grizzlies are sputtering right now, having lost two in a row and going 2-8 during their past 10 games. The matchup’s over/under is 209.

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Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Timberwolves -12.5 209

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Injury Report as of February 28

Timberwolves: Karl-Anthony Towns: Out (Personal), Jaylen Clark: Out (Achilles), Rudy Gobert: Questionable (Ankle)

Grizzlies: Desmond Bane: Out (Ankle), Ja Morant: Out (Shoulder), Brandon Clarke: Out (Achilles), Luke Kennard: Out (Illness), John Konchar: Questionable (Thumb), Marcus Smart: Out (Finger), Chimezie Metu: Doubtful (Trade Pending), Victor Oladipo: Out (Knee), Scotty Pippen Jr.: Out (Lower Back)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Timberwolves (-12.5)
Total Pick Over (209)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Stat Rankings

Timberwolves Avg. (Rank) Grizzlies Avg. (Rank)
113.6 (20th) Points Scored 106.5 (30th)
106.4 (1st) Points Allowed 112.8 (9th)
44.2 (11th) Rebounds 41.6 (27th)
9.3 (28th) Off. Rebounds 9.9 (22nd)
12.6 (15th) 3pt Made 13.5 (9th)
26.3 (17th) Assists 25.2 (23rd)
13.9 (22nd) Turnovers 13.9 (22nd)

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Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Anthony Edwards 55 26.5 5.3 5.2 1.3 0.5 2.6
Rudy Gobert 56 13.7 12.7 1.3 0.6 2.1 0
Naz Reid 58 12.2 4.7 1 0.7 0.8 1.8
Mike Conley 53 10.7 2.8 6.2 1 0.2 2.3
Jaden McDaniels 48 10.2 2.7 1.3 0.9 0.5 1.2

Grizzlies Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jaren Jackson Jr. 53 22.2 5.4 2.2 1.1 1.5 1.8
Lamar Stevens 5 12.4 6.8 1 0.4 1.2 0.6
Gregory Jackson 24 11.5 3.7 0.8 0.5 0.7 1.8
Santi Aldama 46 10.2 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.7 1.7
Vince Williams Jr. 45 9.8 5.7 3.1 0.9 0.6 1.5

Betting Trends

  • Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 30-26-2 this season.
  • Minnesota has two wins ATS (2-3) as a 12.5-point favorite or greater this season.
  • The Timberwolves have played 58 games this season, and 27 of them have gone over the total.
  • In 44 games this year, Minnesota and its opponent have combined to score more than 209 points.
  • The point total average for Timberwolves games this season is 220.0, 11.0 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The Grizzlies have covered the spread 27 times in 58 games.
  • Against the spread, as a 12.5-point underdog or greater, Memphis is 3-1.
  • The Grizzlies have seen 25 of their 58 games hit the over.
  • Memphis’ games have finished with over 209 points scored 43 times this season.
  • The average total for Grizzlies games is 219.3 points, 10.3 more than this game’s over/under.

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