The Indiana Pacers (33-26) host the New Orleans Pelicans (35-24) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, starting at 7:30 PM ET on Wednesday, February 28, 2024. The Pelicans are 7-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 237.5.
If you are trying to gain an edge on Wednesday’s game, see the best bets available for this matchup, below (based on our computer predictions).
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Spread: Pelicans (+7) to Cover
- The model line is much more favorable to the Pelicans compared to the DraftKings line, a 7.1 point difference, and has them favored to win Wednesday’s game outright. Put your money on the Pelicans.
- New Orleans is 32-25-2 against the spread this year.
- The Pelicans have covered the spread twice when an underdog by 7 points or more this year (in three opportunities).
- Indiana has a 31-25-3 record against the spread this season.
- When playing as at least 7-point favorites this season, the Pacers have an ATS record of 6-6-1.
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Total: Under 237.5
- The DraftKings total for this game, 237.5 points, and the model’s projected total, 236.8 points, are only 0.7 points apart.
- Indiana and its opponent have broken the 237.5-point mark 37 times this season.
- So far this season, 20 New Orleans’ games have featured over 237.5 points scored.
- So far this season, 32 out of the Pacers’ 59 games have gone over the point total.
- The Pelicans and their opponents have combined to hit the over 27 out of 59 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Pelicans (+220)
- Prediction: Pelicans 119, Pacers 118
- Indiana has entered the game as favorites 28 times this season and won 17, or 60.7%, of those games.
- New Orleans has been an underdog in 24 games this season and has come away with the win 13 times (54.2%) in those contests.
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Pascal Siakam Points Prop: Under 21.5
- Pascal Siakam averages 22.2 points, 6.3 boards and 4.8 assists per game, shooting 52.2% from the floor and 31.7% from beyond the arc with 1.2 made treys per game.
- Siakam’s 22.2 points per game are 0.7 points higher than Wednesday’s over/under.
- He is 25-for-59 at going over his points prop this season.
- The Pelicans are 14th in the NBA in points scored (116.1 per game) and eighth in points allowed (111.7).
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Brandon Ingram Points Prop: Over 21.5
- On a per-game basis, Brandon Ingram gets the Pelicans 21.5 points, 5.0 rebounds and 5.8 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
- The 21.5 points over/under for Ingram on Wednesday matches his scoring average.
- Ingram has had a points prop in 57 games this season, and has hit the over 20 times.
- Because of the Pacers’ defensive struggles this year, ranking third-worst in the NBA with 122.1 points allowed per game, they’ve been forced to lean on their offense, which ranks best in the league putting 123.9 points per game.
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