The Sacramento Kings (33-23) host the Miami Heat (31-25) at Golden 1 Center, tipping off at 10:00 PM ET on Monday, February 26, 2024. The Heat are 7-point underdogs in the game. The point total is set at 224.5 for the matchup.
Our computer predictions for Monday’s game can help you make an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Heat (+7) to Cover
- The model favors the Kings by 4.7 points, just 2.3 less than the 7-point spread set by DraftKings.
- Miami has a 27-27-2 record against the spread this year.
- The Heat have an ATS record of 4-5 when playing as at least 7-point underdogs this year.
- Sacramento has gone 29-26-1 ATS this season.
- The Kings have an ATS record of 5-8 when playing as at least 7-point favorites this season.
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Total: Over 224.5
- The model predicts a total 4.0 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- Sacramento and its opponent have broken the 224.5-point mark 41 times this season.
- So far this season, 21 Miami’s games have featured more than 224.5 points scored.
- So far this season, 28 out of the Kings’ 56 games have gone over the point total.
- So far this season, 21 out of the Heat’s 56 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Kings (-285)
- Prediction: Kings 117, Heat 112
- Sacramento has been the favorite in 38 games this season and won 25 (65.8%) of those contests.
- Miami has been chosen as underdogs in 25 games this year and has walked away with the win nine times (36%) in those games.
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De’Aaron Fox Points Prop: Under 24.5
- De’Aaron Fox puts up 26.9 points, 4.2 boards and 5.6 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.9 steals (second in NBA) and 0.4 blocks.
- The 26.9 points Fox scores per game are 2.4 more than his prop total on Monday (24.5).
- Fox has hit the points prop over at a 23-for-50 clip this season.
- The Heat are the fourth-worst squad in the league in points scored (110.5 per game) but fourth-best in points allowed (110.1).
See all available player props for De’Aaron Fox and other Kings players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Bam Adebayo Points Prop: Over 22.5
- Bam Adebayo is averaging 20.3 points, 10.5 rebounds and 4.1 assists per contest. He’s also sinking 51.2% of his shots from the floor.
- The 22.5-point prop total for Adebayo on Monday is 2.2 higher than his season scoring average, which is 20.3.
- Adebayo has gone over 23 times on a points prop this season (in 47 opportunities).
- The Kings are seventh in the NBA with 118.6 points per game so far this season. At the other end, they rank 22nd with 117.8 points allowed per game.
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