Kings vs. Heat: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – February 26, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on February 26, 2024

The Sacramento Kings (33-23) and the Miami Heat (31-25) play at Golden 1 Center in a game on Monday, February 26, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET on NBCS. The Kings are 7-point favorites in the game. The matchup’s over/under is 224.5.

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Kings vs. Heat Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Kings -7 224.5

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Injury Report as of February 26

Kings: Aleksandar Vezenkov: Out (Ankle), Alex Len: Out (Illness)

Heat: Terry Rozier: Questionable (Knee), Terry Rozier: Questionable (Knee), Tyler Herro: Questionable (Knee), Orlando Robinson: Questionable (Back), Josh Richardson: Out (Shoulder), Dru Smith: Out (Knee), Jimmy Butler: Out (Suspension), Thomas Bryant: Out (Suspension), Nikola Jovic: Out (Suspension)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Heat (+7)
Total Pick Over (224.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Kings vs. Heat Stat Rankings

Kings Avg. (Rank) Heat Avg. (Rank)
118.6 (7th) Points Scored 110.5 (27th)
117.8 (22nd) Points Allowed 110.1 (4th)
43.2 (18th) Rebounds 42.3 (23rd)
10.3 (17th) Off. Rebounds 9.6 (25th)
14.8 (4th) 3pt Made 12.4 (16th)
28.7 (6th) Assists 25.8 (21st)
12.7 (13th) Turnovers 12.2 (8th)

Best Betting Site for Kings vs. Heat

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Kings Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
De’Aaron Fox 50 26.9 4.2 5.6 1.9 0.4 2.9
Domantas Sabonis 56 20.1 13.2 8.4 0.9 0.5 0.5
Malik Monk 55 15.2 2.7 5.2 0.6 0.7 2.2
Keegan Murray 52 14.8 5.3 1.7 1.1 0.6 2.2
Harrison Barnes 56 12.3 2.9 1.1 0.7 0.2 1.9

Heat Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Terry Rozier 30 23.2 3.9 6.6 1.1 0.4 2.8
Tyler Herro 36 20.8 5.3 4.4 0.8 0.1 3.3
Bam Adebayo 46 20.3 10.5 4.1 1.1 1 0
Duncan Robinson 51 13.4 2.4 2.8 0.6 0.2 2.8
Jaime Jaquez Jr. 50 12.8 3.9 2.6 1.1 0.2 0.9

Betting Trends

  • The Kings have beaten the spread 29 times in 56 games.
  • Against the spread as 7-point favorites or more, Sacramento is 5-8.
  • Out of 56 Kings games so far this season, 28 have gone over the total.
  • Sacramento’s games have had more than 224.5 points scored on 41 occasions this year.
  • The total for this game is 224.5, 11.9 points fewer than the average total in Kings games thus far this season.
  • The Heat have covered the spread 27 times in 56 games.
  • Against the spread, as a 7-point underdog or more, Miami is 4-5.
  • Out of 56 Heat games so far this year, 21 have hit the over.
  • Miami’s games have finished with over 224.5 points scored 21 times this season.
  • The over/under for this game is 3.9 points higher than the average scoring total for Heat games of 220.6.

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