The Golden State Warriors (29-26) host the Denver Nuggets (38-19) on February 25, 2024 at Chase Center. The Warriors are favorites, by 2.5 points, in a matchup featuring one of the best 3-point shooting squads in the NBA versus one of the top teams defending against it. The Warriors make 15.1 treys per game (second in league), while the Nuggets concede only 11.4 (third). The over/under is set at 232.5 points for the matchup.
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Warriors vs. Nuggets Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Warriors | -2.5 | 232.5 |
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Injury Report as of February 25
Warriors: Chris Paul: Out (Hand)
Nuggets: Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee), Hunter Tyson: Out (Finger), Jamal Murray: Questionable (Tibia)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Nuggets (+2.5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Under (232.5) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Warriors vs. Nuggets Stat Rankings
| Warriors Avg. (Rank) | Nuggets Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 119.5 (6th) | Points Scored | 114.5 (15th) |
| 117.4 (19th) | Points Allowed | 110.8 (6th) |
| 46.8 (2nd) | Rebounds | 44.4 (9th) |
| 12.4 (4th) | Off. Rebounds | 11.1 (9th) |
| 15.1 (2nd) | 3pt Made | 11.4 (26th) |
| 29.0 (4th) | Assists | 29.0 (4th) |
| 13.9 (23rd) | Turnovers | 11.8 (3rd) |
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Warriors Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | 52 | 27.8 | 4.3 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 5 |
| Klay Thompson | 52 | 17 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 3.2 |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 54 | 15.2 | 4.7 | 2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 50 | 12.7 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 |
| Brandin Podziemski | 48 | 10.2 | 6 | 4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.3 |
Nuggets Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 55 | 26 | 12.2 | 9.1 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Jamal Murray | 41 | 20.4 | 3.9 | 6.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 2.4 |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 56 | 16.4 | 7.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 2.7 |
| Aaron Gordon | 51 | 13.8 | 6.5 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| Reggie Jackson | 57 | 10.8 | 2.1 | 4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.3 |
Betting Trends
- Against the spread, the Warriors are 29-24-2 this year.
- Golden State has an ATS record of 12-15 as 2.5-point favorites or more.
- The Warriors have seen 30 of their 55 games go over the point total.
- Golden State’s games have had more than 232.5 points scored on 31 occasions this season.
- Warriors games have had an average of 236.9 points this season, 4.4 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
- The Nuggets have 24 wins in 57 games against the spread this season.
- Against the spread, as a 2.5-point underdog or more, Denver is 3-2.
- The Nuggets have seen 22 of their 57 games go over the point total.
- Denver’s games have finished with over 232.5 points scored 21 times this season.
- Games involving the Nuggets this year have averaged 225.3 points per game, a 7.2-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.
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