The Dallas Mavericks (33-23) are one-point favorites for their contest with the Indiana Pacers (32-25) on February 25, 2024, when two of the biggest stars in the NBA — the Mavericks’ Luka Doncic and the Pacers’ Tyrese Haliburton — will be on show at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The matchup has an over/under of 253.5 points.
Keep reading to find the best bets you can make on Sunday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Pacers (+1) to Cover
- The data strongly suggests betting on the Pacers in this one. The model favors them while DraftKings has the Mavericks favored and the difference between the two is 3.1 points.
- Indiana is 30-24-3 ATS this year.
- The Pacers have been an underdog by 1 point or more 30 times this season, and covered the spread in 17 of those contests.
- Dallas has a 30-26-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Mavericks have an ATS record of 20-12 when playing as at least 1-point favorites this season.
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Total: Under 253.5
- In this game, the model projects a total (240.8 points) significantly lower than the DraftKings over/under (253.5 points). Bet on the under.
- Dallas and its opponent have broken the 253.5-point mark eight times this season.
- Indiana’s games have gone over 253.5 points on 22 occasions this year.
- So far this season, 27 out of the Mavericks’ 56 games have hit the over.
- Pacers games have hit the over 31 out of 57 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Pacers (-105)
- Prediction: Pacers 121, Mavericks 119
- Dallas has entered the game as favorites 31 times this season and won 23, or 74.2%, of those games.
- Indiana has been victorious in 15, or 50%, of the 30 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Luka Doncic Points Prop: Over 33.5
- Doncic posts 34.3 points, 8.8 rebounds and 9.6 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.5 steals (seventh in NBA) and 0.6 blocks.
- The 34.3 points Doncic has scored per game this season is 0.8 more than his prop bet over/under set for Sunday (33.5).
- Doncic has hit the over 28 times on a points prop this season (in 52 tries).
- In 2023-24, the Pacers are best in the league on offense (123.8 points scored per game) but third-worst defensively (122.2 points conceded).
See all available player props for Luka Doncic and other Mavericks players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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