The Oklahoma City Thunder (39-17) visit the Houston Rockets (25-31) at Toyota Center, starting at 7:00 PM ET on Sunday, February 25, 2024. The Thunder are 6.5-point favorites in the game, the second matchup between the teams this season. The matchup’s over/under is set at 234.
Our computer predictions below will help you decide what are the best bets available for Sunday’s game.
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Spread: Rockets (+6.5) to Cover
- The model and DraftKings both have the Thunder taking home the win, but the model has them winning by slightly less (4.6 points). Lean towards taking the Rockets.
- Houston has a 28-26-2 record against the spread this year.
- The Rockets have covered the spread seven times this season (7-8-1 ATS) when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs.
- Oklahoma City is 35-20-1 against the spread this season.
- The Thunder have covered the spread 13 times this season (13-4 ATS) when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites.
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Total: Under 234
- The model projects a total 3.5 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
- Oklahoma City and its opponent have broken the 234-point mark 32 times this year.
- Houston’s games have finished with over 234 points scored 23 times this year.
- In the Thunder’s 56 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 31 times.
- So far this season, 26 out of the Rockets’ 56 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Thunder (-238)
- Prediction: Thunder 118, Rockets 113
- Oklahoma City has been the favorite in 40 games this season and won 30 (75%) of those contests.
- Houston has been chosen as underdogs in 37 games this year and has walked away with the win 11 times (29.7%) in those games.
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists Prop: Under 6.5
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 31.1 points, 5.5 rebounds and 6.6 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 2.1 steals (first in league) and 0.9 blocks.
- Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 6.6 assists per game this season, 0.1 more than his prop bet for Sunday (6.5).
- Gilgeous-Alexander is 30-for-56 at dishing out more assists than his listed prop bet total this season.
Explore all available player props for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and other Thunder players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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