In a game featuring a pair of the brightest stars in the NBA, Kevin Durant and the Phoenix Suns (33-24) will battle Anthony Davis and the Los Angeles Lakers (31-27) on February 25, 2024 at Footprint Center. The Suns are favored by four points. The over/under in the matchup is 241.
Keep reading to dig into the best bets you can place on Sunday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Suns (-4) to Cover
- The model projects the Suns to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by a small margin more (4.8 to 4).
- Phoenix has a 23-32-2 record against the spread this season.
- The Suns have covered the spread nine times this season (9-17-1 ATS) when playing as at least 4-point favorites.
- Los Angeles is 26-32-0 ATS this year.
- The Lakers are 6-8 ATS this season when playing as at least 4-point underdogs.
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Total: Under 241
- In this game, the model projects a total (233.1 points) significantly lower than the DraftKings over/under (241 points). Bet on the under.
- Phoenix’s games have had more than 241 points scored on 19 occasions this year.
- So far this season, 24 Los Angeles’ games have featured more than 241 points scored.
- A total of 27 out of the Suns’ 57 games this season have gone over the point total.
- The Lakers and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 31 out of 58 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Suns (-166)
- Prediction: Suns 119, Lakers 114
- Phoenix has been the favorite in 42 games this season and won 27 (64.3%) of those contests.
- Los Angeles has been an underdog in 25 games this season and has come away with the win 10 times (40%) in those contests.
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Devin Booker Rebounds Prop: Over 3.5
- Devin Booker averages 27.6 points, 4.6 rebounds and 6.9 assists per contest, shooting 49.7% from the field and 37.3% from downtown with 2.1 made 3-pointers per game.
- He has pulled down 4.6 rebounds per game, 1.1 higher than his prop bet on Sunday.
- He’s grabbed more rebounds than the listed total for him 19 times this season in his 49 games oddsmakers set a prop.
- The Lakers grab 42.7 rebounds per game and concede 44.5 boards, ranking 21st and 20th, respectively, in the league.
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LeBron James Rebounds Prop: Under 6.5
- On a per-game basis, LeBron James gives the Lakers 24.9 points, 7.2 rebounds and 7.8 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
- He has averaged 0.7 more rebounds per game (7.2) than his prop bet total in Sunday’s game (6.5).
- Bookmakers have listed a rebound total for him 54 times this season, and he has hit the over in 21 of those games.
- With 41.4 rebounds allowed per game, the Suns are fourth-best in the league. They rank 14th in the league by averaging 43.5 boards per contest.
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