The Boston Celtics (44-12) battle the New York Knicks (34-22) on February 24, 2024 at Madison Square Garden. The Celtics are strongly favored, by six points, in a matchup featuring two of the top defensive squads in the NBA — the Celtics are fifth (110.6 points conceded per game), and the Knicks are third (109.7). The matchup’s over/under is set at 223.5.
Our computer predictions for Saturday’s game will help you make an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Knicks (+6) to Cover
- The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (2.5 points) is much tighter than the 6-point edge DraftKings gives to the Celtics, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Knicks to cover.
- New York’s ATS record is 30-24-2 this year.
- The Knicks have not covered the spread when an underdog by 6 points or more this year (in four opportunities).
- Boston is 26-27-3 ATS this season.
- The Celtics have been favored by 6 points or more 41 times this season, and covered the spread in 21 of those games.
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Total: Over 223.5
- The model projects a total 4.3 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- Boston’s games have had more than 223.5 points scored on 33 occasions this season.
- So far this year, 26 New York’s games have featured over 223.5 points scored.
- So far this season, 28 out of the Celtics’ 56 games have hit the over.
- A total of 23 Knicks games this year have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Celtics (-225)
- Prediction: Celtics 115, Knicks 113
- Boston has entered the game as favorites 54 times this season and won 43, or 79.6%, of those games.
- New York has been victorious in nine, or 37.5%, of the 24 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Jaylen Brown Rebounds Prop: Under 5.5
- Jaylen Brown posts 22.0 points, 5.5 rebounds and 3.8 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.6 blocks.
- His rebound average — 5.5 per game — equals his prop bet on Saturday.
- He’s grabbed more rebounds than the listed total for him 28 times this season in his 56 games oddsmakers set a prop.
- The Knicks are the fourth-best squad in the NBA in rebounds per game (45.8) and best in rebounds conceded (40.3).
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Donte DiVincenzo Points Prop: Under 17.5
- The Knicks are getting 13.7 points, 3.3 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game from Donte DiVincenzo this year.
- DiVincenzo’s 13.7 points per game average is 3.8 fewer than Saturday’s over/under.
- So far this season, DiVincenzo is 19-for-45 at scoring more than the total set for his points prop.
- The Celtics have been thriving at both ends of the court this season, ranking fifth-best in the NBA in points per game (120.8) and fifth-best in points allowed per game (110.6).
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