The New Orleans Pelicans (34-22) are one-point favorites against the Miami Heat (30-25) on February 23, 2024 at Smoothie King Center. The Pelicans are on a hot streak, having won four in a row while going 8-2 during their last 10 games. The point total in this contest is 218.5.
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Pelicans vs. Heat Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | -1 | 218.5 |
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Injury Report as of February 23
Pelicans: Dyson Daniels: Out (Knee), Cody Zeller: Questionable (Knee), Brandon Ingram: Out (Illness)
Heat: Josh Richardson: Out (Shoulder), Dru Smith: Out (Knee), Terry Rozier: Out (Knee), Terry Rozier: Out (Knee), Tyler Herro: Questionable (Foot)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Pelicans (-1) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (218.5) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Pelicans vs. Heat Stat Rankings
| Pelicans Avg. (Rank) | Heat Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 116.6 (14th) | Points Scored | 110.6 (27th) |
| 112.1 (8th) | Points Allowed | 110.4 (4th) |
| 44.2 (10th) | Rebounds | 42.2 (23rd) |
| 10.9 (14th) | Off. Rebounds | 9.6 (25th) |
| 12.2 (18th) | 3pt Made | 12.4 (16th) |
| 27.2 (11th) | Assists | 25.9 (21st) |
| 12.6 (12th) | Turnovers | 12.2 (9th) |
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Pelicans Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson | 45 | 22.5 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| CJ McCollum | 42 | 19.2 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 3.4 |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 56 | 13.8 | 9.5 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 1 | 0.6 |
| Trey Murphy III | 31 | 12.7 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2.5 |
| Herbert Jones | 51 | 11.1 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.5 |
Heat Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | 37 | 21.4 | 5.5 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Tyler Herro | 35 | 21 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 3.3 |
| Bam Adebayo | 45 | 20.2 | 10.6 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Duncan Robinson | 50 | 13.3 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.8 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 49 | 12.9 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 |
Betting Trends
- The Pelicans have covered the spread 31 times in 56 games.
- New Orleans is 16-15-1 as 1-point favorites or more.
- There have been 27 Pelicans games (out of 56) that went over the total this year.
- A total of 43 times so far this year, New Orleans and its opponent have combined to score more than 218.5 points.
- The over/under in this matchup is 218.5 points, and that’s 10.2 less than the average total in this season’s Pelicans contests.
- The Heat have beaten the spread 26 times in 55 games.
- Miami’s ATS record as a 1-point underdog or more is 11-13.
- This season, 21 of the Heat’s 55 games have hit the over.
- So far this season, 28 Miami’s games have featured over 218.5 points scored.
- The average total points scored in Heat games this year (218.5) is 2.5 points higher than the total for this matchup.
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