In a contest featuring one of the hottest teams in the NBA, the New Orleans Pelicans (34-22, 8-2 in their last 10) face the Miami Heat (30-25) at Smoothie King Center on February 23, 2024. The Pelicans are favorites by one point. The matchup has an over/under of 218.5.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you decide what are the best bets available for Friday’s game.
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Spread: Pelicans (-1) to Cover
- The Pelicans are the bet in this game. They’re favored by 7.3 more points in the model than DraftKings (8.3 to 1).
- So far this season, New Orleans has compiled a 31-23-2 record against the spread.
- The Pelicans are 16-15-1 ATS this season when playing as at least 1-point favorites.
- Miami’s ATS record is 26-27-2 this season.
- The Heat are 11-13 ATS this year when playing as at least 1-point underdogs.
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Total: Over 218.5
- The model predicts a total 6.3 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- In 43 games this season, New Orleans and its opponent have combined for more than 218.5 points.
- There have been 28 Miami’s games this season with more than 218.5 points scored.
- In the Pelicans’ 56 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 27 times.
- The Heat and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 21 out of 55 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Pelicans (-125)
- Prediction: Pelicans 117, Heat 108
- This season, New Orleans has been favored 32 times and won 21, or 65.6%, of those games.
- Miami has been victorious in eight, or 33.3%, of the 24 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Zion Williamson Points Prop: Under 23.5
- Zion Williamson posts 22.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 4.9 assists per contest, shooting 58.5% from the floor.
- Williamson is putting up 22.5 points per game this season, 1.0 less than his over/under on Friday.
- Williamson has hit the points prop over at a 21-for-51 clip this season.
- The Heat are the fourth-worst team in the NBA in points scored (110.6 per game) but fourth-best in points allowed (110.4).
See all available player props for Zion Williamson and other Pelicans players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Jimmy Butler Points Prop: Under 21.5
- The Heat are getting 21.4 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game from Jimmy Butler this year.
- Butler’s 21.4 points per game average is 0.1 fewer than Friday’s over/under.
- So far this season, Butler is 16-for-44 at hitting the over on the total set for his points prop.
- So far this year, the Pelicans are averaging 116.6 points per game (14th-ranked in NBA) and surrendering 112.1 points per contest (eighth-ranked).
Check out the prop bets available for Jimmy Butler and other Heat players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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