The Minnesota Timberwolves (39-16) are favorites (four points) over the Milwaukee Bucks (35-21) on February 23, 2024 at Target Center. It’s a matchup featuring one of the best teams in the league defensively against one of the top offensive squads. The Timberwolves are first in points conceded per game (106.7), and Milwaukee is second in points scored (122.0). The point total for the matchup is set at 225.5.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you decide what are the best bets available for Friday’s game.
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Spread: Timberwolves (-4) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Timberwolves favored by four, while the model predicts they’ll win by considerably more (9.5 points). Put your money on the Timberwolves.
- Minnesota’s ATS record is 29-24-2 this season.
- The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 17-15 when playing as at least 4-point favorites this season.
- Milwaukee has a 21-34-1 record against the spread this season.
- The Bucks have covered the spread once when an underdog by 4 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
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Total: Over 225.5
- The model projects a total 5.3 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
- Minnesota and its opponent have broken the 225.5-point mark 20 times this year.
- Milwaukee’s games have had over 225.5 points 45 times this year.
- Timberwolves games have hit the over 27 out of 55 times this season.
- The Bucks and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 30 out of 56 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Timberwolves (-175)
- Prediction: Timberwolves 120, Bucks 111
- Minnesota has entered the game as favorites 42 times this season and won 32, or 76.2%, of those games.
- Milwaukee has been named as the underdog six times this season but has yet to come away with a victory in any of those games.
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Anthony Edwards Points Prop: Over 27.5
- Anthony Edwards puts up 26.3 points, 5.2 rebounds and 5.3 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.5 blocks.
- The 27.5 points prop bet over/under set for Edwards on Friday is 1.2 more than his scoring average on the season (26.3).
- Edwards is 28-for-54 at hitting the over on his points prop total this season.
- The Bucks are the second-best squad in the league in points scored (122.0 per game) and 23rd in points allowed (118.8).
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