The Dallas Mavericks (32-23) play the Phoenix Suns (33-22) on February 22, 2024 at American Airlines Center. The Mavericks are favorites, by 2.5 points, in a matchup featuring a pair of the top players in the league, the Mavericks’ Luka Doncic and the Suns’ Kevin Durant. The matchup has an over/under set at 244.5 points.
Trying to gain an edge on Thursday’s game? Dig into the best bets available in this matchup (based on our computer predictions) below.
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Spread: Suns (+2.5) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this matchup is within 0.3 points of the model. Stay away from this one.
- Phoenix is 23-30-2 against the spread this season.
- The Suns are 4-5 ATS this season when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
- So far this season, Dallas has compiled a 29-26-0 record against the spread.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread 15 times this season (15-11 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
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Total: Under 244.5
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (233.9 points) substantially lower than the DraftKings over/under (244.5 points). Bet on the under.
- Dallas’ games have had more than 244.5 points scored on 17 occasions this season.
- Phoenix’s games have had over 244.5 points 13 times this season.
- A total of 27 out of the Mavericks’ 55 games this season have hit the over.
- A total of 27 Suns games this season have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Mavericks (-142)
- Prediction: Mavericks 118, Suns 116
- Dallas has been the favorite in 30 games this season and won 22 (73.3%) of those contests.
- Phoenix has been victorious in five, or 38.5%, of the 13 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Kyrie Irving Rebounds Prop: Under 4.5
- Kyrie Irving averages 25.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game, shooting 49.1% from the floor and 41.4% from beyond the arc with 2.9 made 3-pointers per game.
- His per-game rebounding average of 5.2 is 0.7 higher than his prop bet on Thursday (4.5).
- Oddsmakers have set a rebound total for him 39 times this season, and he has hit the over in 16 of those games.
- The Suns are 17th in the league in rebounds per game (43.2) and fourth-best in rebounds conceded (41.2).
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Kevin Durant Rebounds Prop: Over 6.5
- Durant is averaging 28.2 points, 6.6 rebounds and 5.7 assists per game. He’s also sinking 53.8% of his shots from the field and 44.3% from 3-point range (eighth in NBA), with 2.3 triples per contest.
- He averages 0.1 more rebounds than his over/under on Thursday (which is 6.5).
- He has collected more boards than the over/under set for him by sportsbooks 21 times this season in 51 games with that prop available.
- The Mavericks rank 23rd in the NBA with 42.2 boards per contest, but they are giving up 45.6 rebounds per game, which ranks fourth-worst in the league.
Check out the prop bets available for Kevin Durant and other Suns players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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