In a game between two of the best squads in the NBA defending against the 3-pointer, the Minnesota Timberwolves (38-16) are favored by 10 points against the Portland Trail Blazers (15-38) at Moda Center on February 15, 2024. The Timberwolves concede just 11.4 treys per game (second in league), and the Trail Blazers allow 11.5 (fourth). The matchup has a point total of 216.
Trying to gain an edge on Thursday’s game? See the best bets available for this matchup (based on our computer predictions) in this article.
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Spread: Timberwolves (-10) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Timberwolves favored by 10, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (12.4 points).
- So far this season, Minnesota has compiled a 28-24-2 record against the spread.
- The Timberwolves are 5-6 ATS this season when playing as at least 10-point favorites.
- Portland is 25-28-0 against the spread this year.
- The Trail Blazers have covered the spread 11 times this year (11-6 ATS) when playing as at least 10-point underdogs.
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Total: Over 216
- The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 6.7 points lower than the model projection.
- Minnesota and its opponent have broken the 216-point mark 35 times this year.
- There have been 36 Portland’s games this season with more than 216 points scored.
- So far this season, 26 out of the Timberwolves’ 54 games have hit the over.
- Trail Blazers games have gone over the point total 24 out of 53 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Timberwolves (-500)
- Prediction: Timberwolves 118, Trail Blazers 105
- Minnesota has been the favorite in 41 games this season and won 31 (75.6%) of those contests.
- Portland has been an underdog in 48 games this season and has come away with the win 14 times (29.2%) in those contests.
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Karl-Anthony Towns Rebounds Prop: Over 7.5
- Karl-Anthony Towns averages 22.5 points, 8.4 boards and 2.9 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.6 blocks.
- He averages 0.9 more rebounds than his prop bet Thursday of 7.5.
- This will be his 54th game this season with a rebound prop and so far he has hit the over 23 times.
- On the glass, the Trail Blazers are fifth-worst in the league in rebounds (41.5 per game). They are 21st in rebounds conceded (44.4 per game).
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Deandre Ayton Points Prop: Under 14.5
- Deandre Ayton is putting up 14.2 points, 10.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. He’s sinking 56.5% of his shots from the floor.
- The 14.5 point total set for Ayton on Thursday is 0.3 more than his scoring average on the season (14.2).
- He is 16-for-34 at hitting the over on his points prop total this season.
- The Timberwolves are averaging 113.7 points per game this season (20th-ranked in NBA), but they’ve really played well on defense, ceding only 107.0 points per game (best).
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