The Phoenix Suns (32-22) host the Detroit Pistons (8-45) at Footprint Center, beginning at 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, February 14, 2024. The Suns are 13-point favorites in the game, the second matchup between the teams this season. The matchup’s over/under is set at 237.5.
Check out below to dig into the best bets you can make on Wednesday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Suns (-13) to Cover
- The model projects the Suns to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by a small margin more (15.2 to 13).
- Phoenix has a 22-30-2 record against the spread this season.
- The Suns have not covered the spread this season (0-3 ATS) when playing as at least 13-point favorites.
- Detroit is 26-26-1 against the spread this season.
- The Pistons are 6-3 ATS this season when playing as at least 13-point underdogs.
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Total: Under 237.5
- The model predicts a total 3.8 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- Phoenix and its opponent have broken the 237.5-point mark 20 times this season.
- So far this season, 25 Detroit’s games have featured more than 237.5 points scored.
- A total of 27 out of the Suns’ 54 games this season have hit the over.
- In the Pistons’ 53 chances this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 30 times.
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Moneyline Winner: Suns (-900)
- Prediction: Suns 124, Pistons 109
- Phoenix has been the favorite in 40 games this season and won 26 (65%) of those contests.
- Detroit has come away with seven wins in the 48 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Kevin Durant Points Prop: Over 27.5
- Kevin Durant posts 28.3 points, 6.6 rebounds and 5.7 assists per game, shooting 53.7% from the floor and 44.4% from beyond the arc (eighth in NBA) with 2.3 made 3-pointers per game.
- Durant’s 28.3 points per game average is 0.8 points more than Wednesday’s over/under.
- Durant has gone up against a points prop bet in 49 games this season, and he’s hit the over 25 times.
- Offensively the Pistons are the 23rd-ranked squad in the league (113.1 points per game). Defensively they are fourth-worst (122.1 points allowed per game).
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Cade Cunningham Rebounds Prop: Under 3.5
- Cade Cunningham delivers 22.1 points, 4.1 rebounds and 7.4 assists per game for the Pistons.
- He has collected 4.1 boards per game, 0.6 more than his over/under for Wednesday’s game.
- Bookmakers have listed a rebound over/under for him 44 times this season, and he has gone over in 19 of those games.
- With 41.1 rebounds allowed per game, the Suns are fourth-best in the league. They rank 19th in the league by pulling down 43.0 boards per contest.
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