The Philadelphia 76ers (32-21) host the Miami Heat (29-25) at Wells Fargo Center, tipping off at 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, February 14, 2024. The Heat are 3-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has a point total of 227.5.
Our computer predictions for Wednesday’s game may help you make an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: 76ers (-3) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the 76ers favored by three, while the model predicts they’ll win by considerably more (6.0 points). Put your money on the 76ers.
- So far this season, Philadelphia has compiled a 31-22-0 record against the spread.
- The 76ers have covered the spread 19 times this season (19-11 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
- Miami’s ATS record is 25-27-2 this year.
- When playing as at least 3-point underdogs this season, the Heat have an ATS record of 9-9.
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Total: Under 227.5
- The model’s predicted total (226.9 points) and the DraftKings set total (227.5 points) are virtually the same for this contest.
- A total of 32 times so far this year, Philadelphia and its opponent have combined for more than 227.5 points.
- There have been 17 Miami’s games this year with more than 227.5 points scored.
- In the 76ers’ 53 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 32 times.
- So far this season, 21 out of the Heat’s 54 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: 76ers (-142)
- Prediction: 76ers 116, Heat 110
- This season, Philadelphia has won 28 out of the 36 games, or 77.8%, in which it has been favored.
- Miami has been victorious in seven, or 30.4%, of the 23 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Tyrese Maxey Points Prop: Under 27.5
- Tyrese Maxey posts 25.6 points, 6.4 assists and 3.6 boards per contest.
- The 27.5-point total set for Maxey on Wednesday is 1.9 more points than his per-game scoring average.
- So far this season, Maxey is 22-for-51 at hitting the over on the total set for his points prop.
- The Heat are the fourth-worst team in the league in points scored (110.6 per game) but fourth-best in points allowed (110.5).
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