The Atlanta Hawks (24-30) hit the court against the Charlotte Hornets (12-41) as 7-point favorites on Wednesday, February 14, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET on BSSE. The matchup has an over/under set at 238.5 points.
Our computer predictions below will help you decide what are the best bets available for Wednesday’s game.
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Spread: Hornets (+7) to Cover
- The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (5.9 points) is slightly less than the 7-point edge DraftKings gives to the Hawks, though the data still has them as the favorite.
- Charlotte has a 19-33-1 record against the spread this season.
- The Hornets are 13-18 ATS this season when playing as at least 7-point underdogs.
- Atlanta is 17-37-0 ATS this season.
- The Hawks have an ATS record of 3-4 when playing as at least 7-point favorites this season.
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Total: Under 238.5
- The model projects a total 1.6 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- Atlanta and its opponent have broken the 238.5-point mark 33 times this year.
- Charlotte’s games have finished with over 238.5 points scored 20 times this season.
- Hawks games have hit the over 30 out of 54 times this season.
- Hornets games have hit the over 28 out of 53 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Hawks (-270)
- Prediction: Hawks 121, Hornets 115
- This season, Atlanta has won 17 out of the 29 games, or 58.6%, in which it has been favored.
- Charlotte has won in 10, or 20.4%, of the 49 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Trae Young Points Prop: Over 24.5
- Trae Young posts 27.0 points, 2.8 boards and 10.9 assists per contest, shooting 42.8% from the floor and 37.3% from downtown with 3.4 made treys per game (third in NBA).
- The 24.5-point total set for Young on Wednesday is 2.5 fewer points than his season scoring average.
- In 53 games this season with a points prop total, Young has gone over the total 23 times.
- In 2023-24, the Hornets are third-worst in the NBA on offense (108.4 points scored per game) and 24th on defense (119.8 points conceded).
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Miles Bridges Points Prop: Over 25.5
- On a per-game basis, Miles Bridges gets the Hornets 21.6 points, 7.2 rebounds and 3.4 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
- The 25.5-point prop total for Bridges on Wednesday is 3.9 higher than his scoring average, which is 21.6.
- Bridges is 20-for-42 at hitting the over on his points prop this season.
- The Hawks have had to lean on their offense, which ranks third-best in the NBA (121.7 points per game), as they rank worst in the league on defense with just 123.9 points allowed per contest.
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